Hezbollah and Israel remain locked in intense cross-border military exchanges since early March 2026, when Hezbollah launched rockets and drones at northern Israeli targets, including near Haifa, in retaliation for Israeli strikes on Lebanon amid the broader US-Israel-Iran conflict. In the past 24 hours as of March 27, Hezbollah claimed over 600 attacks—including rocket barrages, drones, and artillery—targeting IDF positions, bases, and settlements in northern Israel, doubling prior daily highs and prompting Israeli airstrikes that killed more than 30 Hezbollah militants in southern Lebanon. IDF ground operations continue advancing into Lebanon, with harsh weather causing troop injuries, while Lebanese PM Nawaf Salam blamed Hezbollah's initial rocket fire for imposing the war. Traders should monitor potential escalation signals, diplomatic interventions, or ceasefire talks, as no de-escalation is evident and clashes show no signs of abating before any market resolution date.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$495,527 交易量
Mar 31, 2026
March 22
92%
March 27
95%
March 28
92%
March 29
93%
March 30
92%
March 31
90%
$495,527 交易量
March 22
$437,390 交易量
92%
March 27
$20,840 交易量
95%
March 28
$5,574 交易量
92%
March 29
$1,596 交易量
93%
March 30
$1,504 交易量
92%
March 31
$654 交易量
90%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hezbollah initiates a drone, missile, or air strike that impacts Israeli ground territory on the specified date, Israel Standard Time (UTC+2). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Hezbollah forces that physically impact land under Israeli control.
Israeli ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Israel, including all territory under de facto Israeli government administration as of market creation. This includes the Israeli-controlled Golan Heights and East Jerusalem, but excludes the West Bank and Gaza Strip.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether debris lands on Israeli soil or causes damage.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.Hezbollah and Israel remain locked in intense cross-border military exchanges since early March 2026, when Hezbollah launched rockets and drones at northern Israeli targets, including near Haifa, in retaliation for Israeli strikes on Lebanon amid the broader US-Israel-Iran conflict. In the past 24 hours as of March 27, Hezbollah claimed over 600 attacks—including rocket barrages, drones, and artillery—targeting IDF positions, bases, and settlements in northern Israel, doubling prior daily highs and prompting Israeli airstrikes that killed more than 30 Hezbollah militants in southern Lebanon. IDF ground operations continue advancing into Lebanon, with harsh weather causing troop injuries, while Lebanese PM Nawaf Salam blamed Hezbollah's initial rocket fire for imposing the war. Traders should monitor potential escalation signals, diplomatic interventions, or ceasefire talks, as no de-escalation is evident and clashes show no signs of abating before any market resolution date.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hezbollah initiates a drone, missile, or air strike that impacts Israeli ground territory on the specified date, Israel Standard Time (UTC+2). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Hezbollah forces that physically impact land under Israeli control.
Israeli ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Israel, including all territory under de facto Israeli government administration as of market creation. This includes the Israeli-controlled Golan Heights and East Jerusalem, but excludes the West Bank and Gaza Strip.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether debris lands on Israeli soil or causes damage.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Hezbollah forces that physically impact land under Israeli control.
Israeli ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Israel, including all territory under de facto Israeli government administration as of market creation. This includes the Israeli-controlled Golan Heights and East Jerusalem, but excludes the West Bank and Gaza Strip.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether debris lands on Israeli soil or causes damage.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
市场开放时间： Mar 20, 2026, 2:48 PM ET
交易量
$495,527结束日期
Mar 31, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 20, 2026, 2:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hezbollah initiates a drone, missile, or air strike that impacts Israeli ground territory on the specified date, Israel Standard Time (UTC+2). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Hezbollah forces that physically impact land under Israeli control.
Israeli ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Israel, including all territory under de facto Israeli government administration as of market creation. This includes the Israeli-controlled Golan Heights and East Jerusalem, but excludes the West Bank and Gaza Strip.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether debris lands on Israeli soil or causes damage.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.Hezbollah and Israel remain locked in intense cross-border military exchanges since early March 2026, when Hezbollah launched rockets and drones at northern Israeli targets, including near Haifa, in retaliation for Israeli strikes on Lebanon amid the broader US-Israel-Iran conflict. In the past 24 hours as of March 27, Hezbollah claimed over 600 attacks—including rocket barrages, drones, and artillery—targeting IDF positions, bases, and settlements in northern Israel, doubling prior daily highs and prompting Israeli airstrikes that killed more than 30 Hezbollah militants in southern Lebanon. IDF ground operations continue advancing into Lebanon, with harsh weather causing troop injuries, while Lebanese PM Nawaf Salam blamed Hezbollah's initial rocket fire for imposing the war. Traders should monitor potential escalation signals, diplomatic interventions, or ceasefire talks, as no de-escalation is evident and clashes show no signs of abating before any market resolution date.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hezbollah initiates a drone, missile, or air strike that impacts Israeli ground territory on the specified date, Israel Standard Time (UTC+2). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Hezbollah forces that physically impact land under Israeli control.
Israeli ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Israel, including all territory under de facto Israeli government administration as of market creation. This includes the Israeli-controlled Golan Heights and East Jerusalem, but excludes the West Bank and Gaza Strip.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether debris lands on Israeli soil or causes damage.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Hezbollah forces that physically impact land under Israeli control.
Israeli ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Israel, including all territory under de facto Israeli government administration as of market creation. This includes the Israeli-controlled Golan Heights and East Jerusalem, but excludes the West Bank and Gaza Strip.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether debris lands on Israeli soil or causes damage.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
交易量
$495,527结束日期
Mar 31, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 20, 2026, 2:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Hezbollah and Israel remain locked in intense cross-border military exchanges since early March 2026, when Hezbollah launched rockets and drones at northern Israeli targets, including near Haifa, in retaliation for Israeli strikes on Lebanon amid the broader US-Israel-Iran conflict. In the past 24 hours as of March 27, Hezbollah claimed over 600 attacks—including rocket barrages, drones, and artillery—targeting IDF positions, bases, and settlements in northern Israel, doubling prior daily highs and prompting Israeli airstrikes that killed more than 30 Hezbollah militants in southern Lebanon. IDF ground operations continue advancing into Lebanon, with harsh weather causing troop injuries, while Lebanese PM Nawaf Salam blamed Hezbollah's initial rocket fire for imposing the war. Traders should monitor potential escalation signals, diplomatic interventions, or ceasefire talks, as no de-escalation is evident and clashes show no signs of abating before any market resolution date.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题