The market-implied odds heavily favoring a June crude oil settlement above $84 reflect acute supply disruptions from the ongoing Middle East conflict, including the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz and sharp production cutbacks across Iraq, Saudi Arabia, and neighboring producers. These factors have triggered record inventory draws of 8.5 million barrels per day in the second quarter, pushing WTI prices to approximately $104 per barrel as of May 20. Traders are pricing in limited near-term relief despite gradual flow resumption expected in June, with the EIA forecasting Brent averages near $106 through the month before easing later in 2026. Upcoming catalysts include any progress toward reopening the strait and OPEC+ production decisions, which could alter the path of inventory balances and price levels.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于原油( CL )在6月份的结算时间是什么?
>84美元 75%
77美元-84美元 17%
70美元至77美元 8.1%
$56-$63 1.0%
$171,521 交易量
$171,521 交易量
低于42美元
<1%
$42-$49
1%
$49-$56
1%
$56-$63
1%
$63-$70
1%
70美元至77美元
8%
77美元-84美元
17%
>84美元
75%
>84美元 75%
77美元-84美元 17%
70美元至77美元 8.1%
$56-$63 1.0%
$171,521 交易量
$171,521 交易量
低于42美元
<1%
$42-$49
1%
$49-$56
1%
$56-$63
1%
$63-$70
1%
70美元至77美元
8%
77美元-84美元
17%
>84美元
75%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
市场开放时间: Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ET
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
The market-implied odds heavily favoring a June crude oil settlement above $84 reflect acute supply disruptions from the ongoing Middle East conflict, including the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz and sharp production cutbacks across Iraq, Saudi Arabia, and neighboring producers. These factors have triggered record inventory draws of 8.5 million barrels per day in the second quarter, pushing WTI prices to approximately $104 per barrel as of May 20. Traders are pricing in limited near-term relief despite gradual flow resumption expected in June, with the EIA forecasting Brent averages near $106 through the month before easing later in 2026. Upcoming catalysts include any progress toward reopening the strait and OPEC+ production decisions, which could alter the path of inventory balances and price levels.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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