Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the June 2026 WTI crude oil (CL) settlement above $84 at a 59% implied probability, closely tracking the front-month June futures contract hovering near $91 amid a geopolitical risk premium from escalating Middle East tensions, including Iran conflict disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz that have tightened global supply outlooks. OPEC+'s modest April 5 decision to raise output quotas by 206,000 barrels per day for May has provided limited offset, as U.S. EIA inventories rose 3.1 million barrels to 464.7 million last week—slightly above five-year averages—yet demand resilience and upward-revised forecasts from EIA (peaking Brent near $115/bbl in Q2) sustain bullish positioning. Watch upcoming EIA reports and OPEC+ meetings for potential shifts in supply dynamics.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于原油( CL )在6月份的结算时间是什么?
原油( CL )在6月份的结算时间是什么?
>84美元 59%
77美元-84美元 17%
70美元至77美元 9.3%
$63-$70 5.5%
$114,980 交易量
$114,980 交易量
低于42美元
1%
$42-$49
1%
$49-$56
2%
$56-$63
4%
$63-$70
6%
70美元至77美元
9%
77美元-84美元
17%
>84美元
59%
>84美元 59%
77美元-84美元 17%
70美元至77美元 9.3%
$63-$70 5.5%
$114,980 交易量
$114,980 交易量
低于42美元
1%
$42-$49
1%
$49-$56
2%
$56-$63
4%
$63-$70
6%
70美元至77美元
9%
77美元-84美元
17%
>84美元
59%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
市场开放时间: Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ET
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the June 2026 WTI crude oil (CL) settlement above $84 at a 59% implied probability, closely tracking the front-month June futures contract hovering near $91 amid a geopolitical risk premium from escalating Middle East tensions, including Iran conflict disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz that have tightened global supply outlooks. OPEC+'s modest April 5 decision to raise output quotas by 206,000 barrels per day for May has provided limited offset, as U.S. EIA inventories rose 3.1 million barrels to 464.7 million last week—slightly above five-year averages—yet demand resilience and upward-revised forecasts from EIA (peaking Brent near $115/bbl in Q2) sustain bullish positioning. Watch upcoming EIA reports and OPEC+ meetings for potential shifts in supply dynamics.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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