Geopolitical supply disruptions from the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz, amid ongoing U.S.-Iran tensions and Middle East production shut-ins exceeding 10 million barrels per day, remain the dominant driver keeping WTI crude near $96–$100 per barrel in late May. The EIA’s Short-Term Energy Outlook projects an average 8.5 million barrel-per-day global inventory draw in Q2 2026, supporting elevated prices through the June settlement amid strong refinery utilization. Market-implied odds reflect this near-term tightness, with the >$84 bucket commanding a 63% consensus backed by real capital. Countervailing factors include potential de-escalation in peace talks, softer demand growth forecasts, and any OPEC+ output adjustments that could accelerate the anticipated price moderation into the second half of the year. Traders are monitoring upcoming EIA inventory data and diplomatic signals for shifts in the risk premium.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于原油（ CL ）在6月份的结算时间是什么？
原油（ CL ）在6月份的结算时间是什么？
>84美元 63%
77美元-84美元 22%
70美元至77美元 13.6%
$63-$70 3.7%
$198,989 交易量
$198,989 交易量
2026-06-30
低于42美元
<1%
$42-$49
<1%
$49-$56
1%
$56-$63
1%
$63-$70
4%
70美元至77美元
14%
77美元-84美元
22%
>84美元
63%
>84美元 63%
77美元-84美元 22%
70美元至77美元 13.6%
$63-$70 3.7%
$198,989 交易量
$198,989 交易量
2026-06-30
低于42美元
$20,391 交易量
<1%
$42-$49
$9,604 交易量
<1%
$49-$56
$11,401 交易量
1%
$56-$63
$12,002 交易量
1%
$63-$70
$26,783 交易量
4%
70美元至77美元
$16,189 交易量
14%
77美元-84美元
$16,816 交易量
22%
>84美元
$85,804 交易量
63%
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Geopolitical supply disruptions from the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz, amid ongoing U.S.-Iran tensions and Middle East production shut-ins exceeding 10 million barrels per day, remain the dominant driver keeping WTI crude near $96–$100 per barrel in late May. The EIA’s Short-Term Energy Outlook projects an average 8.5 million barrel-per-day global inventory draw in Q2 2026, supporting elevated prices through the June settlement amid strong refinery utilization. Market-implied odds reflect this near-term tightness, with the >$84 bucket commanding a 63% consensus backed by real capital. Countervailing factors include potential de-escalation in peace talks, softer demand growth forecasts, and any OPEC+ output adjustments that could accelerate the anticipated price moderation into the second half of the year. Traders are monitoring upcoming EIA inventory data and diplomatic signals for shifts in the risk premium.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
市场开放时间： Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ET
交易量
$198,989结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Geopolitical supply disruptions from the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz, amid ongoing U.S.-Iran tensions and Middle East production shut-ins exceeding 10 million barrels per day, remain the dominant driver keeping WTI crude near $96–$100 per barrel in late May. The EIA’s Short-Term Energy Outlook projects an average 8.5 million barrel-per-day global inventory draw in Q2 2026, supporting elevated prices through the June settlement amid strong refinery utilization. Market-implied odds reflect this near-term tightness, with the >$84 bucket commanding a 63% consensus backed by real capital. Countervailing factors include potential de-escalation in peace talks, softer demand growth forecasts, and any OPEC+ output adjustments that could accelerate the anticipated price moderation into the second half of the year. Traders are monitoring upcoming EIA inventory data and diplomatic signals for shifts in the risk premium.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
交易量
$198,989结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ETGeopolitical supply disruptions from the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz, amid ongoing U.S.-Iran tensions and Middle East production shut-ins exceeding 10 million barrels per day, remain the dominant driver keeping WTI crude near $96–$100 per barrel in late May. The EIA’s Short-Term Energy Outlook projects an average 8.5 million barrel-per-day global inventory draw in Q2 2026, supporting elevated prices through the June settlement amid strong refinery utilization. Market-implied odds reflect this near-term tightness, with the >$84 bucket commanding a 63% consensus backed by real capital. Countervailing factors include potential de-escalation in peace talks, softer demand growth forecasts, and any OPEC+ output adjustments that could accelerate the anticipated price moderation into the second half of the year. Traders are monitoring upcoming EIA inventory data and diplomatic signals for shifts in the risk premium.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题