Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 59% implied probability to Crude Oil (CL) settling above $84 in June, reflecting persistent supply tightness from US-Iran tensions and Strait of Hormuz disruptions that have slashed Middle East exports by over 60% since March. Extreme backwardation—June 2026 futures trading near $90 versus front-month at $96—signals acute near-term shortages, amplified by physical crude premiums exceeding $130 per barrel in Asia amid "molecular contagion" of refined product deficits. A recent cease-fire announcement triggered a 19% plunge from $115 peaks earlier this week, yet prices stabilized above $95 as global inventories remain strained despite US builds. Upcoming US-Iran talks could ease risks, but traders price in a geopolitical risk premium through summer.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于原油（ CL ）在6月份的结算时间是什么？
原油（ CL ）在6月份的结算时间是什么？
>84美元 59%
77美元-84美元 17%
70美元至77美元 9.3%
$63-$70 5.5%
$114,980 交易量
$114,980 交易量
2026-06-30
低于42美元
1%
$42-$49
1%
$49-$56
2%
$56-$63
4%
$63-$70
6%
70美元至77美元
9%
77美元-84美元
17%
>84美元
59%
>84美元 59%
77美元-84美元 17%
70美元至77美元 9.3%
$63-$70 5.5%
$114,980 交易量
$114,980 交易量
2026-06-30
低于42美元
$4,765 交易量
1%
$42-$49
$4,217 交易量
1%
$49-$56
$5,594 交易量
2%
$56-$63
$5,284 交易量
4%
$63-$70
$18,427 交易量
6%
70美元至77美元
$6,457 交易量
9%
77美元-84美元
$9,521 交易量
17%
>84美元
$60,716 交易量
59%
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 59% implied probability to Crude Oil (CL) settling above $84 in June, reflecting persistent supply tightness from US-Iran tensions and Strait of Hormuz disruptions that have slashed Middle East exports by over 60% since March. Extreme backwardation—June 2026 futures trading near $90 versus front-month at $96—signals acute near-term shortages, amplified by physical crude premiums exceeding $130 per barrel in Asia amid "molecular contagion" of refined product deficits. A recent cease-fire announcement triggered a 19% plunge from $115 peaks earlier this week, yet prices stabilized above $95 as global inventories remain strained despite US builds. Upcoming US-Iran talks could ease risks, but traders price in a geopolitical risk premium through summer.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
市场开放时间： Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ET
交易量
$114,980结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 59% implied probability to Crude Oil (CL) settling above $84 in June, reflecting persistent supply tightness from US-Iran tensions and Strait of Hormuz disruptions that have slashed Middle East exports by over 60% since March. Extreme backwardation—June 2026 futures trading near $90 versus front-month at $96—signals acute near-term shortages, amplified by physical crude premiums exceeding $130 per barrel in Asia amid "molecular contagion" of refined product deficits. A recent cease-fire announcement triggered a 19% plunge from $115 peaks earlier this week, yet prices stabilized above $95 as global inventories remain strained despite US builds. Upcoming US-Iran talks could ease risks, but traders price in a geopolitical risk premium through summer.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
交易量
$114,980结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 59% implied probability to Crude Oil (CL) settling above $84 in June, reflecting persistent supply tightness from US-Iran tensions and Strait of Hormuz disruptions that have slashed Middle East exports by over 60% since March. Extreme backwardation—June 2026 futures trading near $90 versus front-month at $96—signals acute near-term shortages, amplified by physical crude premiums exceeding $130 per barrel in Asia amid "molecular contagion" of refined product deficits. A recent cease-fire announcement triggered a 19% plunge from $115 peaks earlier this week, yet prices stabilized above $95 as global inventories remain strained despite US builds. Upcoming US-Iran talks could ease risks, but traders price in a geopolitical risk premium through summer.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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