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談判 預測與賠率

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Trump-Xi Summit: What will China announce by May 22?

Trump-Xi Summit: What will China announce by May 22?

39%

Boeing Aircraft Purchase

$172K 交易量

$80.2K Liq.

34

Ends 5 天內

Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by...?

Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by...?

3%

May 31

$29.0K 交易量

$12.7K Liq.

8

Ends 14 天內

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?

2%

May 31

$175K 交易量

$25.4K Liq.

23

Ends 14 天內

U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?

U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?

6%

June 30

$593K 交易量

$16.8K Liq.

38

Ends 大約 1 個月內

Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30?

Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30?

3%

$12.1K 交易量

$11.1K Liq.

Ends 大約 1 個月內

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

33%

December 31

$3.6K 交易量

$169K Liq.

2

Ends 8 個月內

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

49%

December 31

$572K 交易量

$72.4K today

$414K Liq.

43

Ends 8 個月內

US x China tariff agreement by May 31?

US x China tariff agreement by May 31?

34%

$67.5K 交易量

$18.6K Liq.

5

Ends 14 天內

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

6%

$147K 交易量

$12.7K Liq.

Ends 大約 1 個月內

Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by...?

Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by...?

31%

June 30

$35.3K 交易量

$2.9K Liq.

4

Ends 17 天前

Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?

Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?

27%

South Korea

$269K 交易量

$135K Liq.

Ends 8 個月內

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?

16%

$572K 交易量

$30.2K Liq.

Ends 8 個月內

Israel and Syria normalize relations by...?

Israel and Syria normalize relations by...?

11%

December 31, 2026

$2M 交易量

$31.2K Liq.

34

Ends 8 個月內

Israel x Syria security agreement by...?

Israel x Syria security agreement by...?

8%

June 30

$4M 交易量

$1M today

$13.4K Liq.

117

Ends 5 個月前

Pakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by...?

Pakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by...?

13%

June 30

$150K 交易量

$637 Liq.

30

Ends 大約 1 個月內

Who will attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Who will attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

51%

Jared Kushner

$1M 交易量

$91.8K Liq.

69

Ends 大約 1 個月內

US announces Cuba oil sanction relief by June 30?

US announces Cuba oil sanction relief by June 30?

18%

$94 交易量

$8.5K Liq.

Ends 大約 1 個月內

European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

4%

$123K 交易量

$12.4K Liq.

12

Ends 大約 1 個月內

Who will Trump speak to in May?

Who will Trump speak to in May?

47%

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

$844K 交易量

$131K today

$109K Liq.

Ends 14 天內

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

32%

$571K 交易量

$66.5K Liq.

Ends 8 個月內

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 115 active markets for 談判 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Trump-Xi Summit: What will China announce by May 22?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $11.7M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Israel x Syria security agreement by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Israel x Syria security agreement by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 8% chance to June 30. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on 談判 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.