US-Turkey diplomacy advanced in July 2026 after President Trump signaled willingness to consider readmitting Turkey to the F-35 program during meetings with President Erdogan, including potential sanctions relief. However, a July 22 State Department letter to Congress confirmed Turkey has not met statutory requirements under US law, which bar transfers while Ankara possesses the Russian S-400 system acquired in 2019. Ankara is reportedly negotiating transfer of the systems to Gulf states such as the UAE to address the core obstacle. Congressional resistance persists from bipartisan lawmakers and regional allies concerned about technology security and regional balance. Any reentry would require formal certification that Turkey no longer possesses or operates the S-400 and meets related defense procurement conditions, with resolution timing dependent on these diplomatic and legislative steps.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$28,080 交易量
2026-12-31
2026年12月31日
36%
2027年6月30日
35%
$28,080 交易量
2026年12月31日
$27,595 交易量
36%
2027年6月30日
$485 交易量
35%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Turkey becomes formally included in the F-35 program between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Turkey will be considered formally included in the F-35 program if any of the following occur:
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Partner;
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Foreign Military Sales Customer; or
- the United States federal government officially announces that Turkey has signed or accepted a Foreign Military Sales Letter (FMS) of Offer and Acceptance (LOA) for F-35 aircraft or F-35 components.
Statements of intent, negotiations, sanctions relief, waiver or certification of legal restrictions, congressional notification, or general announcements that the United States supports or is considering an F-35 sale to Turkey will not qualify unless one of the above conditions is met.
Once a qualifying action has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent reversal, suspension, or cancellation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the F-35 Joint Program Office and the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be considered.US-Turkey diplomacy advanced in July 2026 after President Trump signaled willingness to consider readmitting Turkey to the F-35 program during meetings with President Erdogan, including potential sanctions relief. However, a July 22 State Department letter to Congress confirmed Turkey has not met statutory requirements under US law, which bar transfers while Ankara possesses the Russian S-400 system acquired in 2019. Ankara is reportedly negotiating transfer of the systems to Gulf states such as the UAE to address the core obstacle. Congressional resistance persists from bipartisan lawmakers and regional allies concerned about technology security and regional balance. Any reentry would require formal certification that Turkey no longer possesses or operates the S-400 and meets related defense procurement conditions, with resolution timing dependent on these diplomatic and legislative steps.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Turkey becomes formally included in the F-35 program between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Turkey will be considered formally included in the F-35 program if any of the following occur:
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Partner;
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Foreign Military Sales Customer; or
- the United States federal government officially announces that Turkey has signed or accepted a Foreign Military Sales Letter (FMS) of Offer and Acceptance (LOA) for F-35 aircraft or F-35 components.
Statements of intent, negotiations, sanctions relief, waiver or certification of legal restrictions, congressional notification, or general announcements that the United States supports or is considering an F-35 sale to Turkey will not qualify unless one of the above conditions is met.
Once a qualifying action has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent reversal, suspension, or cancellation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the F-35 Joint Program Office and the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be considered.
Turkey will be considered formally included in the F-35 program if any of the following occur:
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Partner;
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Foreign Military Sales Customer; or
- the United States federal government officially announces that Turkey has signed or accepted a Foreign Military Sales Letter (FMS) of Offer and Acceptance (LOA) for F-35 aircraft or F-35 components.
Statements of intent, negotiations, sanctions relief, waiver or certification of legal restrictions, congressional notification, or general announcements that the United States supports or is considering an F-35 sale to Turkey will not qualify unless one of the above conditions is met.
Once a qualifying action has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent reversal, suspension, or cancellation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the F-35 Joint Program Office and the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 14, 2026, 10:15 AM ET
交易量
$28,080結束日期
2027-06-30市場開放時間
Jul 14, 2026, 10:15 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Turkey becomes formally included in the F-35 program between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Turkey will be considered formally included in the F-35 program if any of the following occur:
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Partner;
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Foreign Military Sales Customer; or
- the United States federal government officially announces that Turkey has signed or accepted a Foreign Military Sales Letter (FMS) of Offer and Acceptance (LOA) for F-35 aircraft or F-35 components.
Statements of intent, negotiations, sanctions relief, waiver or certification of legal restrictions, congressional notification, or general announcements that the United States supports or is considering an F-35 sale to Turkey will not qualify unless one of the above conditions is met.
Once a qualifying action has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent reversal, suspension, or cancellation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the F-35 Joint Program Office and the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be considered.US-Turkey diplomacy advanced in July 2026 after President Trump signaled willingness to consider readmitting Turkey to the F-35 program during meetings with President Erdogan, including potential sanctions relief. However, a July 22 State Department letter to Congress confirmed Turkey has not met statutory requirements under US law, which bar transfers while Ankara possesses the Russian S-400 system acquired in 2019. Ankara is reportedly negotiating transfer of the systems to Gulf states such as the UAE to address the core obstacle. Congressional resistance persists from bipartisan lawmakers and regional allies concerned about technology security and regional balance. Any reentry would require formal certification that Turkey no longer possesses or operates the S-400 and meets related defense procurement conditions, with resolution timing dependent on these diplomatic and legislative steps.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Turkey becomes formally included in the F-35 program between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Turkey will be considered formally included in the F-35 program if any of the following occur:
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Partner;
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Foreign Military Sales Customer; or
- the United States federal government officially announces that Turkey has signed or accepted a Foreign Military Sales Letter (FMS) of Offer and Acceptance (LOA) for F-35 aircraft or F-35 components.
Statements of intent, negotiations, sanctions relief, waiver or certification of legal restrictions, congressional notification, or general announcements that the United States supports or is considering an F-35 sale to Turkey will not qualify unless one of the above conditions is met.
Once a qualifying action has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent reversal, suspension, or cancellation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the F-35 Joint Program Office and the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be considered.
Turkey will be considered formally included in the F-35 program if any of the following occur:
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Partner;
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Foreign Military Sales Customer; or
- the United States federal government officially announces that Turkey has signed or accepted a Foreign Military Sales Letter (FMS) of Offer and Acceptance (LOA) for F-35 aircraft or F-35 components.
Statements of intent, negotiations, sanctions relief, waiver or certification of legal restrictions, congressional notification, or general announcements that the United States supports or is considering an F-35 sale to Turkey will not qualify unless one of the above conditions is met.
Once a qualifying action has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent reversal, suspension, or cancellation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the F-35 Joint Program Office and the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be considered.
交易量
$28,080結束日期
2027-06-30市場開放時間
Jul 14, 2026, 10:15 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US-Turkey diplomacy advanced in July 2026 after President Trump signaled willingness to consider readmitting Turkey to the F-35 program during meetings with President Erdogan, including potential sanctions relief. However, a July 22 State Department letter to Congress confirmed Turkey has not met statutory requirements under US law, which bar transfers while Ankara possesses the Russian S-400 system acquired in 2019. Ankara is reportedly negotiating transfer of the systems to Gulf states such as the UAE to address the core obstacle. Congressional resistance persists from bipartisan lawmakers and regional allies concerned about technology security and regional balance. Any reentry would require formal certification that Turkey no longer possesses or operates the S-400 and meets related defense procurement conditions, with resolution timing dependent on these diplomatic and legislative steps.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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