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全球政治 預測與賠率

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Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

27%

Gavin Newsom

$1B 交易量

$3M today

$60M Liq.

691

Ends 超過 2 年內

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

39%

J.D. Vance

$577M 交易量

$2M today

$37M Liq.

362

Ends 超過 2 年內

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

18%

JD Vance

$549M 交易量

$2M today

$30M Liq.

872

Ends 超過 2 年內

Peru Presidential Election Winner

Peru Presidential Election Winner

68%

Keiko Fujimori

$41M 交易量

$2M today

$6M Liq.

4,082

Ends 大約 2 個月內

Next French Presidential Election

Next French Presidential Election

22%

Édouard Philippe

$49M 交易量

$1M today

$5M Liq.

415

Ends 大約 1 年內

2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner

2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner

88%

Chong Won-oh

$29M 交易量

$767K today

$3M Liq.

40

Ends 大約 1 個月內

Colombia Presidential Election

Colombia Presidential Election

39%

Paloma Valencia

$23M 交易量

$726K today

$2M Liq.

373

Ends 2 個月內

Brazil Presidential Election

Brazil Presidential Election

39%

Flávio Bolsonaro

$56M 交易量

$691K today

$4M Liq.

4,884

Ends 5 個月內

Virginia Redistricting Referendum: Margin of Victory

Virginia Redistricting Referendum: Margin of Victory

98%

Pass 3-6%

$350K 交易量

$315K today

$72.5K Liq.

14

Ends 1 天前

Next Prime Minister of Hungary

Next Prime Minister of Hungary

99%

Péter Magyar

$93M 交易量

$290K today

$5M Liq.

2,105

Ends 11 天前

Peru Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

Peru Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

87%

Roberto Sánchez Palomino

$5M 交易量

$197K today

$1M Liq.

354

Ends 11 天前

West Bengal Legislative Assembly Election Winner

West Bengal Legislative Assembly Election Winner

50%

BJP

$2M 交易量

$156K today

$156K Liq.

35

Ends 6 天內

 Colombia Presidential Election 1st round winner?

Colombia Presidential Election 1st round winner?

85%

Iván Cepeda Castro

$3M 交易量

$145K today

$643K Liq.

7

Ends 大約 1 個月內

Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly Election Winner

Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly Election Winner

73%

DMK

$523K 交易量

$66.7K today

$258K Liq.

176

Ends 大約 11 小時內

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

66%

United Russia (ER)

$6M 交易量

$62.0K today

$391K Liq.

146

Ends 5 個月內

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

52%

Democrats Sweep

$5M 交易量

$548K Liq.

151

Ends 6 個月內

Next Prime Minister of Bulgaria

Next Prime Minister of Bulgaria

98%

Rumen Radev

$357K 交易量

$82.4K Liq.

5

Ends 4 天前

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

52%

Democratic Party

$2M 交易量

$331K Liq.

35

Ends 6 個月內

Which party will win the House in 2026?

Which party will win the House in 2026?

85%

Democratic Party

$5M 交易量

$488K Liq.

Ends 6 個月內

Scotland Parliamentary Election Winner

Scotland Parliamentary Election Winner

99%

Scottish National Party

$2M 交易量

$170K Liq.

9

Ends 14 天內

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like 全球政治.

Polymarket currently hosts 263 active markets for 全球政治 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $2.5B in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 27% chance to Gavin Newsom. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on 全球政治 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.