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通用人工智能 預測與賠率

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What will Trump say during bilateral events with Xi Jinping?

What will Trump say during bilateral events with Xi Jinping?

74%

Iran

$30.3K 交易量

$63.3K Liq.

7

Ends 5 天內

What will Trump say this week? (May 10)

What will Trump say this week? (May 10)

15%

Scam / Fraud

$70.5K 交易量

$3.4K Liq.

Ends 大約 2 小時內

What will be said on ICEMAN?

What will be said on ICEMAN?

87%

Daddy

$58.9K 交易量

$4.1K Liq.

14

Ends 5 天內

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

13%

$68.5K 交易量

$6.1K Liq.

11

Ends 8 個月內

OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

31%

50%+

$21.9K 交易量

$1.3K Liq.

1

Ends 大約 2 個月內

Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?

Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?

9%

$49.8K 交易量

$21.3K Liq.

2

Ends 21 天內

Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?

Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?

3%

$110K 交易量

$20.1K Liq.

Ends 大約 2 個月內

AI bubble burst by...?

AI bubble burst by...?

25%

December 31, 2026

$3M 交易量

$14.3K Liq.

82

Ends 8 個月內

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

22%

$61.6K 交易量

$4.6K Liq.

Ends 8 個月內

Which AI company will have the second-highest revenue May 4-10?

Which AI company will have the second-highest revenue May 4-10?

99%

OpenAI

$19.6K 交易量

$30.9K Liq.

Ends 大約 2 小時內

AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?

AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?

71%

$4.7K 交易量

$596 Liq.

Ends 8 個月內

Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by June 30?

Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by June 30?

50%

1550

$7.7K 交易量

$1.0K Liq.

Ends 大約 2 個月內

Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by December 31?

Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by December 31?

83%

1560

$3.1K 交易量

$5.6K Liq.

Ends 8 個月內

U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

26%

$98.0K 交易量

$12.6K Liq.

Ends 8 個月內

OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

3%

$104K 交易量

$16.1K Liq.

2

Ends 大約 2 個月內

Which company has the second-best Coding AI model end of May?

Which company has the second-best Coding AI model end of May?

88%

Anthropic

$4.5K 交易量

$6.1K Liq.

Ends 21 天內

GPT-5.6 released by...?

GPT-5.6 released by...?

89%

July 31

$21.9K 交易量

$18.6K Liq.

Ends 3 個月內

Next OpenAI Model: Arena Debut?

Next OpenAI Model: Arena Debut?

79%

1450+

$102K 交易量

$5.5K Liq.

Ends 8 個月內

Which company has the best Coding AI model end of May?

Which company has the best Coding AI model end of May?

94%

Anthropic

$14.2K 交易量

$56.5K Liq.

Ends 21 天內

Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by...?

Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by...?

94%

September 30

$6.4K 交易量

$14.0K Liq.

Ends 5 個月內

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