President Trump's two recent Truth Social posts invoking "Praise be to Allah"—first on Easter Sunday, April 5, amid threats over the Strait of Hormuz during the US-Israel war against Iran, and again around April 11 boasting of Iranian setbacks—prompted this market after the initial instance. With no further uses in the past week despite ongoing military actions and escalation signals, traders assign 78% odds to "No" by April 30, viewing the phrase as sporadic rhetorical flourish tied to specific foreign policy pressures rather than a pattern likely to recur soon. Heightened tensions could yield more statements, but consensus emphasizes the pause since the second post.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
$17,092 交易量
$17,092 交易量
是
$17,092 交易量
$17,092 交易量
A qualifying statement includes any remark by Donald Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence for the Islamic deity referred to as Allah. This can include direct praise (e.g., “Praise be to Allah”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“Allah is great”).
General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “Yes, I posted about Allah”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.
Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.
Text or speech contained in images, memes, or videos posted by Trump on his official social media accounts will qualify if it clearly expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence toward Allah, provided that any additional posted commentary from Trump does not explicitly contradict that sentiment. Media contained only within reposts or posts quoted by Trump will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.
市場開放時間: Apr 13, 2026, 5:56 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A qualifying statement includes any remark by Donald Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence for the Islamic deity referred to as Allah. This can include direct praise (e.g., “Praise be to Allah”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“Allah is great”).
General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “Yes, I posted about Allah”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.
Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.
Text or speech contained in images, memes, or videos posted by Trump on his official social media accounts will qualify if it clearly expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence toward Allah, provided that any additional posted commentary from Trump does not explicitly contradict that sentiment. Media contained only within reposts or posts quoted by Trump will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's two recent Truth Social posts invoking "Praise be to Allah"—first on Easter Sunday, April 5, amid threats over the Strait of Hormuz during the US-Israel war against Iran, and again around April 11 boasting of Iranian setbacks—prompted this market after the initial instance. With no further uses in the past week despite ongoing military actions and escalation signals, traders assign 78% odds to "No" by April 30, viewing the phrase as sporadic rhetorical flourish tied to specific foreign policy pressures rather than a pattern likely to recur soon. Heightened tensions could yield more statements, but consensus emphasizes the pause since the second post.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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