Russian forces continue probing Ukrainian defenses around Verkhnia Tersa, a heavily fortified village west of Huliaipole in Zaporizhzhia Oblast, with ISW assessments as of April 2 noting ongoing assaults northwest toward the settlement amid airstrikes and limited advances nearby. Late March saw intense Russian shelling, including 40 strikes on March 2—the heaviest on any frontline sector—aimed at breaching entrenched positions built since 2022, yet no territorial capture within Verkhnia Tersa is confirmed on open-source maps. Ukrainian reports indicate successful repels of infiltration attempts, sustaining a stalemate. Traders monitor daily ISW updates for any shift, as fog of war obscures precise control amid broader Zaporizhzhia frontline clashes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於$113,571 交易量
2026-04-30
4月30日
16%
$113,571 交易量
4月30日
$5,382 交易量
16%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Verkhnia Tersa, Zaporizhzhia Oblast, (47.695737° N, 36.084864° E) between market creation and the specified date 2026 (ET).
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.Russian forces continue probing Ukrainian defenses around Verkhnia Tersa, a heavily fortified village west of Huliaipole in Zaporizhzhia Oblast, with ISW assessments as of April 2 noting ongoing assaults northwest toward the settlement amid airstrikes and limited advances nearby. Late March saw intense Russian shelling, including 40 strikes on March 2—the heaviest on any frontline sector—aimed at breaching entrenched positions built since 2022, yet no territorial capture within Verkhnia Tersa is confirmed on open-source maps. Ukrainian reports indicate successful repels of infiltration attempts, sustaining a stalemate. Traders monitor daily ISW updates for any shift, as fog of war obscures precise control amid broader Zaporizhzhia frontline clashes.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Verkhnia Tersa, Zaporizhzhia Oblast, (47.695737° N, 36.084864° E) between market creation and the specified date 2026 (ET).
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Mar 26, 2026, 9:08 AM ET
交易量
$113,571結束日期
2026-03-31市場開放時間
Mar 26, 2026, 9:08 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Verkhnia Tersa, Zaporizhzhia Oblast, (47.695737° N, 36.084864° E) between market creation and the specified date 2026 (ET).
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.Russian forces continue probing Ukrainian defenses around Verkhnia Tersa, a heavily fortified village west of Huliaipole in Zaporizhzhia Oblast, with ISW assessments as of April 2 noting ongoing assaults northwest toward the settlement amid airstrikes and limited advances nearby. Late March saw intense Russian shelling, including 40 strikes on March 2—the heaviest on any frontline sector—aimed at breaching entrenched positions built since 2022, yet no territorial capture within Verkhnia Tersa is confirmed on open-source maps. Ukrainian reports indicate successful repels of infiltration attempts, sustaining a stalemate. Traders monitor daily ISW updates for any shift, as fog of war obscures precise control amid broader Zaporizhzhia frontline clashes.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Verkhnia Tersa, Zaporizhzhia Oblast, (47.695737° N, 36.084864° E) between market creation and the specified date 2026 (ET).
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
交易量
$113,571結束日期
2026-03-31市場開放時間
Mar 26, 2026, 9:08 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Russian forces continue probing Ukrainian defenses around Verkhnia Tersa, a heavily fortified village west of Huliaipole in Zaporizhzhia Oblast, with ISW assessments as of April 2 noting ongoing assaults northwest toward the settlement amid airstrikes and limited advances nearby. Late March saw intense Russian shelling, including 40 strikes on March 2—the heaviest on any frontline sector—aimed at breaching entrenched positions built since 2022, yet no territorial capture within Verkhnia Tersa is confirmed on open-source maps. Ukrainian reports indicate successful repels of infiltration attempts, sustaining a stalemate. Traders monitor daily ISW updates for any shift, as fog of war obscures precise control amid broader Zaporizhzhia frontline clashes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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