Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for the 548-554k median home value range in the Washington DC metro area as of April 1, 2026, driven by the authoritative Parcl Labs Sales Price Index release confirming this figure amid softening regional dynamics. February 2026 medians hovered around $585k per Bright MLS data, but rising inventory—up 18% year-over-year—and federal workforce uncertainties have pressured prices downward, aligning with Zillow's ZHVI showing DC city values at $574k. This skin-in-the-game pricing reflects real-time sales data across all property types. Realistic challenges would require a Parcl data revision or methodological dispute, though none have emerged, solidifying the outcome ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於4月1日華盛頓都會區的房屋價值中位數是多少?
4月1日華盛頓都會區的房屋價值中位數是多少?
548 - 554千 100.0%
低於518k <1%
518 - 524千 <1%
524 - 530千 <1%
$16,029 交易量
$16,029 交易量
低於518k
否
518 - 524千
否
524 - 530千
否
530 - 536千
否
536 - 542千
否
54.2萬 - 54.8萬
否
548 - 554千
是
>554,000
否
548 - 554千 100.0%
低於518k <1%
518 - 524千 <1%
524 - 530千 <1%
$16,029 交易量
$16,029 交易量
低於518k
否
518 - 524千
否
524 - 530千
否
530 - 536千
否
536 - 542千
否
54.2萬 - 54.8萬
否
548 - 554千
是
>554,000
否
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/21)
市場開放時間: Feb 27, 2026, 4:20 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/21)
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for the 548-554k median home value range in the Washington DC metro area as of April 1, 2026, driven by the authoritative Parcl Labs Sales Price Index release confirming this figure amid softening regional dynamics. February 2026 medians hovered around $585k per Bright MLS data, but rising inventory—up 18% year-over-year—and federal workforce uncertainties have pressured prices downward, aligning with Zillow's ZHVI showing DC city values at $574k. This skin-in-the-game pricing reflects real-time sales data across all property types. Realistic challenges would require a Parcl data revision or methodological dispute, though none have emerged, solidifying the outcome ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
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