Incumbent Republican Gov. Phil Scott's campaign began circulating petitions on April 1 to secure his spot on the August 11 Republican primary ballot, signaling a likely bid for a sixth term and driving trader consensus toward a Republican victory at 78.5% implied probability. Scott maintains the nation's highest gubernatorial approval rating per recent Morning Consult polling, with a track record of landslide re-elections in Democratic-leaning Vermont despite legislative opposition. Democrats, struggling to recruit prominent challengers, saw economist Amanda Janoo enter the race on March 10 criticizing Scott's education reforms, but her low name recognition has yet to dent market odds. The November 3 general election outcome hinges on primary results and Scott's formal announcement.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和黨
79%
民主黨
22%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和黨
$2,619 交易量
79%
民主黨
$5,245 交易量
22%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Gov. Phil Scott's campaign began circulating petitions on April 1 to secure his spot on the August 11 Republican primary ballot, signaling a likely bid for a sixth term and driving trader consensus toward a Republican victory at 78.5% implied probability. Scott maintains the nation's highest gubernatorial approval rating per recent Morning Consult polling, with a track record of landslide re-elections in Democratic-leaning Vermont despite legislative opposition. Democrats, struggling to recruit prominent challengers, saw economist Amanda Janoo enter the race on March 10 criticizing Scott's education reforms, but her low name recognition has yet to dent market odds. The November 3 general election outcome hinges on primary results and Scott's formal announcement.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市場開放時間： Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
交易量
$7,864結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Gov. Phil Scott's campaign began circulating petitions on April 1 to secure his spot on the August 11 Republican primary ballot, signaling a likely bid for a sixth term and driving trader consensus toward a Republican victory at 78.5% implied probability. Scott maintains the nation's highest gubernatorial approval rating per recent Morning Consult polling, with a track record of landslide re-elections in Democratic-leaning Vermont despite legislative opposition. Democrats, struggling to recruit prominent challengers, saw economist Amanda Janoo enter the race on March 10 criticizing Scott's education reforms, but her low name recognition has yet to dent market odds. The November 3 general election outcome hinges on primary results and Scott's formal announcement.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$7,864結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Gov. Phil Scott's campaign began circulating petitions on April 1 to secure his spot on the August 11 Republican primary ballot, signaling a likely bid for a sixth term and driving trader consensus toward a Republican victory at 78.5% implied probability. Scott maintains the nation's highest gubernatorial approval rating per recent Morning Consult polling, with a track record of landslide re-elections in Democratic-leaning Vermont despite legislative opposition. Democrats, struggling to recruit prominent challengers, saw economist Amanda Janoo enter the race on March 10 criticizing Scott's education reforms, but her low name recognition has yet to dent market odds. The November 3 general election outcome hinges on primary results and Scott's formal announcement.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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