Trilateral US-mediated peace talks between Ukraine, Russia, and the United States have stalled amid disagreements over territorial concessions in Donbas, where Kyiv rejected Washington's conditional security guarantees requiring full cession of the region, as stated by President Zelenskyy on March 25. Russia's spring offensive and the ongoing Iran conflict have further complicated diplomacy, diverting resources and attention. Most recently, on April 5, Zelenskyy agreed to a new round of negotiations hosted by Turkey in Istanbul, while the Kremlin demands Ukrainian troop withdrawals from Donbas as a precondition. Traders watch these talks closely, alongside frontline developments and potential US leverage via arms and intelligence, for any framework breakthrough on ceasefire terms.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於烏克蘭正式同意美國支持的停火框架
烏克蘭正式同意美國支持的停火框架
$1,509,072 交易量
6月30日
8%
$1,509,072 交易量
6月30日
8%
A qualifying peace framework is any publicly announced plan, roadmap, or framework intended as the basis for ending the war, provided that the United States formally endorses it and Ukraine officially agrees to it through one of the following:
1. A written or signed framework-related instrument issued or signed by Ukraine that affirms agreement with the U.S.-endorsed framework.
2. An official U.S.–Ukraine announcement — defined as an official government-issued declaration, such as a joint statement, communiqué, or coordinated official releases, explicitly stating that Ukraine has agreed to a U.S.-endorsed peace framework. The announcement must be issued through authorized government channels, including official written releases or formally published transcripts by the White House, State Department, Office of the President of Ukraine, Cabinet of Ministers, or Ministry of Foreign Affairs. Verbal (including interviews or remarks during bilateral meetings) and social-media claims by either leader will not qualify unless later issued in an official written or published form by the respective government. The U.S. President or any US government official publicly stating that “an agreement has been reached,” without a corresponding formal release or communiqué, will not qualify; the same applies to statements by the Ukrainian President or Ukrainian officials.
3. A formally issued Ukrainian governmental action — including a presidential decree, Cabinet resolution, or National Security and Defense Council decision — explicitly stating that Ukraine agrees to the U.S.-endorsed framework.
The primary resolution source will be official government documents, statements, decrees, and credible reporting confirming that Ukraine officially agreed to a U.S.-endorsed peace framework under the standards above.
市場開放時間: Dec 5, 2025, 3:03 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
A qualifying peace framework is any publicly announced plan, roadmap, or framework intended as the basis for ending the war, provided that the United States formally endorses it and Ukraine officially agrees to it through one of the following:
1. A written or signed framework-related instrument issued or signed by Ukraine that affirms agreement with the U.S.-endorsed framework.
2. An official U.S.–Ukraine announcement — defined as an official government-issued declaration, such as a joint statement, communiqué, or coordinated official releases, explicitly stating that Ukraine has agreed to a U.S.-endorsed peace framework. The announcement must be issued through authorized government channels, including official written releases or formally published transcripts by the White House, State Department, Office of the President of Ukraine, Cabinet of Ministers, or Ministry of Foreign Affairs. Verbal (including interviews or remarks during bilateral meetings) and social-media claims by either leader will not qualify unless later issued in an official written or published form by the respective government. The U.S. President or any US government official publicly stating that “an agreement has been reached,” without a corresponding formal release or communiqué, will not qualify; the same applies to statements by the Ukrainian President or Ukrainian officials.
3. A formally issued Ukrainian governmental action — including a presidential decree, Cabinet resolution, or National Security and Defense Council decision — explicitly stating that Ukraine agrees to the U.S.-endorsed framework.
The primary resolution source will be official government documents, statements, decrees, and credible reporting confirming that Ukraine officially agreed to a U.S.-endorsed peace framework under the standards above.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Trilateral US-mediated peace talks between Ukraine, Russia, and the United States have stalled amid disagreements over territorial concessions in Donbas, where Kyiv rejected Washington's conditional security guarantees requiring full cession of the region, as stated by President Zelenskyy on March 25. Russia's spring offensive and the ongoing Iran conflict have further complicated diplomacy, diverting resources and attention. Most recently, on April 5, Zelenskyy agreed to a new round of negotiations hosted by Turkey in Istanbul, while the Kremlin demands Ukrainian troop withdrawals from Donbas as a precondition. Traders watch these talks closely, alongside frontline developments and potential US leverage via arms and intelligence, for any framework breakthrough on ceasefire terms.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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