Pat Fallon holds a commanding lead in the TX-04 House race due to the district's consistent Republican lean, reflected in its Partisan Voter Index and repeated "Safe Republican" or "Solid Republican" ratings from outlets such as the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. As incumbent, Fallon secured his party's nomination with over 80 percent in the March 2026 primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge, with more than $1 million in cash on hand compared to the Democratic nominee's limited resources. Jason Pearce advanced from a competitive Democratic primary but faces structural barriers in a district encompassing eastern Texoma counties and portions of the Dallas-Fort Worth suburbs. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent for Fallon aligns with these factors. A late national political shift, significant scandal, or unexpected health development could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$39,977 交易量
$39,977 交易量
2026-11-02
帕特·法隆（共和黨）
95%
傑森·皮爾斯（民主黨）
6%
$39,977 交易量
$39,977 交易量
2026-11-02
帕特·法隆（共和黨）
$21,766 交易量
95%
傑森·皮爾斯（民主黨）
$18,211 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Pat Fallon holds a commanding lead in the TX-04 House race due to the district's consistent Republican lean, reflected in its Partisan Voter Index and repeated "Safe Republican" or "Solid Republican" ratings from outlets such as the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. As incumbent, Fallon secured his party's nomination with over 80 percent in the March 2026 primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge, with more than $1 million in cash on hand compared to the Democratic nominee's limited resources. Jason Pearce advanced from a competitive Democratic primary but faces structural barriers in a district encompassing eastern Texoma counties and portions of the Dallas-Fort Worth suburbs. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent for Fallon aligns with these factors. A late national political shift, significant scandal, or unexpected health development could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$39,977結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Pat Fallon holds a commanding lead in the TX-04 House race due to the district's consistent Republican lean, reflected in its Partisan Voter Index and repeated "Safe Republican" or "Solid Republican" ratings from outlets such as the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. As incumbent, Fallon secured his party's nomination with over 80 percent in the March 2026 primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge, with more than $1 million in cash on hand compared to the Democratic nominee's limited resources. Jason Pearce advanced from a competitive Democratic primary but faces structural barriers in a district encompassing eastern Texoma counties and portions of the Dallas-Fort Worth suburbs. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent for Fallon aligns with these factors. A late national political shift, significant scandal, or unexpected health development could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$39,977結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETPat Fallon holds a commanding lead in the TX-04 House race due to the district's consistent Republican lean, reflected in its Partisan Voter Index and repeated "Safe Republican" or "Solid Republican" ratings from outlets such as the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. As incumbent, Fallon secured his party's nomination with over 80 percent in the March 2026 primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge, with more than $1 million in cash on hand compared to the Democratic nominee's limited resources. Jason Pearce advanced from a competitive Democratic primary but faces structural barriers in a district encompassing eastern Texoma counties and portions of the Dallas-Fort Worth suburbs. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent for Fallon aligns with these factors. A late national political shift, significant scandal, or unexpected health development could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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