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塞爾維亞議會選舉在2027年之前舉行？

Market icon

塞爾維亞議會選舉在2027年之前舉行？

是

68% 機率
Polymarket

$31,840 交易量

是

68% 機率
Polymarket

$31,840 交易量

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Serbian parliamentary election is officially scheduled between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This market is about whether a date for the next Serbian parliamentary election is formally announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Serbia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Aleksandar Vučić's April 14 statement reaffirming early parliamentary elections this year—potentially by July 10 or in autumn—has solidified trader consensus at 68% for a snap vote before 2027, amid sustained student-led protests demanding dissolution of the National Assembly elected in 2023. Ongoing consultations with political parties follow his late-2025 concessions to demonstrators upset over corruption and the 2024 Novi Sad rail disaster, signaling responsiveness to social tensions without formal parliament dissolution yet. While no-confidence motions loom, Vučić's repeated commitments reflect strategic de-escalation, though exact timing hinges on coalition dynamics and procedural steps under Serbia's constitution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Serbian parliamentary election is officially scheduled between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

This market is about whether a date for the next Serbian parliamentary election is formally announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Serbia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$31,840
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Jan 12, 2026, 5:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Serbian parliamentary election is officially scheduled between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This market is about whether a date for the next Serbian parliamentary election is formally announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Serbia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Serbian parliamentary election is officially scheduled between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This market is about whether a date for the next Serbian parliamentary election is formally announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Serbia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Aleksandar Vučić's April 14 statement reaffirming early parliamentary elections this year—potentially by July 10 or in autumn—has solidified trader consensus at 68% for a snap vote before 2027, amid sustained student-led protests demanding dissolution of the National Assembly elected in 2023. Ongoing consultations with political parties follow his late-2025 concessions to demonstrators upset over corruption and the 2024 Novi Sad rail disaster, signaling responsiveness to social tensions without formal parliament dissolution yet. While no-confidence motions loom, Vučić's repeated commitments reflect strategic de-escalation, though exact timing hinges on coalition dynamics and procedural steps under Serbia's constitution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Serbian parliamentary election is officially scheduled between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

This market is about whether a date for the next Serbian parliamentary election is formally announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Serbia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$31,840
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Jan 12, 2026, 5:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Serbian parliamentary election is officially scheduled between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This market is about whether a date for the next Serbian parliamentary election is formally announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Serbia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"塞爾維亞議會選舉在2027年之前舉行？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "塞爾維亞議會選舉會在2027年前舉行嗎？" at 68%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 68¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 68% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "塞爾維亞議會選舉在2027年之前舉行？" has generated $31.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 12, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "塞爾維亞議會選舉在2027年之前舉行？," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "塞爾維亞議會選舉在2027年之前舉行？" is "塞爾維亞議會選舉會在2027年前舉行嗎？" at 68%, meaning the market assigns a 68% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "塞爾維亞議會選舉在2027年之前舉行？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.