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政治·主要

俄勒岡州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者

Market icon
政治·主要

俄勒岡州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者

喬·芮·帕金斯 54%

大衛·布羅克·史密斯 35.1%

羅素·麥克阿蒙德 5.1%

喬·約翰遜 3.4%

Polymarket

$57,256 交易量

喬·芮·帕金斯 54%

大衛·布羅克·史密斯 35.1%

羅素·麥克阿蒙德 5.1%

喬·約翰遜 3.4%

Polymarket

$57,256 交易量

喬·芮·帕金斯

$10,742 交易量

60%

大衛·布羅克·史密斯

$0 交易量

28%

羅素·麥克阿蒙德

$11,301 交易量

5%

喬·約翰遜

$7,056 交易量

3%

大衛·伯奇

$22,261 交易量

2%

Tim Skelton

$0 交易量

1%

道格拉斯·T·馬克二世

$5,897 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Oregon. If no 2026 Oregon Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oregon Republican Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.**Jo Rae Perkins leads trader consensus at 60% implied probability to win Oregon's Republican U.S. Senate primary on May 19, buoyed by her name recognition as the 2020 nominee who advanced past a crowded field despite a general election loss to incumbent Jeff Merkley.** State Sen. David Brock Smith, at 28%, surged following his March 3 campaign launch, leveraging his coastal district legislative profile and conservative credentials amid criticisms of past bipartisan votes. The crowded primary field coalesced after the March 11 filing deadline, with lower-tier candidates like Russell McAlmond (5%), Joe Johnson (3.5%), and others trailing due to limited visibility and resources. Absent recent polls or major endorsements, odds reflect Perkins' established base support and Smith's momentum in this low-turnout primary race.

**Jo Rae Perkins leads trader consensus at 60% implied probability to win Oregon's Republican U.S. Senate primary on May 19, buoyed by her name recognition as the 2020 nominee who advanced past a crowded field despite a general election loss to incumbent Jeff Merkley.** State Sen. David Brock Smith, at 28%, surged following his March 3 campaign launch, leveraging his coastal district legislative profile and conservative credentials amid criticisms of past bipartisan votes. The crowded primary field coalesced after the March 11 filing deadline, with lower-tier candidates like Russell McAlmond (5%), Joe Johnson (3.5%), and others trailing due to limited visibility and resources. Absent recent polls or major endorsements, odds reflect Perkins' established base support and Smith's momentum in this low-turnout primary race.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Oregon. If no 2026 Oregon Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oregon Republican Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.**Jo Rae Perkins leads trader consensus at 60% implied probability to win Oregon's Republican U.S. Senate primary on May 19, buoyed by her name recognition as the 2020 nominee who advanced past a crowded field despite a general election loss to incumbent Jeff Merkley.** State Sen. David Brock Smith, at 28%, surged following his March 3 campaign launch, leveraging his coastal district legislative profile and conservative credentials amid criticisms of past bipartisan votes. The crowded primary field coalesced after the March 11 filing deadline, with lower-tier candidates like Russell McAlmond (5%), Joe Johnson (3.5%), and others trailing due to limited visibility and resources. Absent recent polls or major endorsements, odds reflect Perkins' established base support and Smith's momentum in this low-turnout primary race.

**Jo Rae Perkins leads trader consensus at 60% implied probability to win Oregon's Republican U.S. Senate primary on May 19, buoyed by her name recognition as the 2020 nominee who advanced past a crowded field despite a general election loss to incumbent Jeff Merkley.** State Sen. David Brock Smith, at 28%, surged following his March 3 campaign launch, leveraging his coastal district legislative profile and conservative credentials amid criticisms of past bipartisan votes. The crowded primary field coalesced after the March 11 filing deadline, with lower-tier candidates like Russell McAlmond (5%), Joe Johnson (3.5%), and others trailing due to limited visibility and resources. Absent recent polls or major endorsements, odds reflect Perkins' established base support and Smith's momentum in this low-turnout primary race.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"俄勒岡州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "喬·芮·帕金斯" at 60%, followed by "大衛·布羅克·史密斯" at 28%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 60¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 60% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "俄勒岡州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者" has generated $57.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 16, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "俄勒岡州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "俄勒岡州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者" is "喬·芮·帕金斯" at 60%, meaning the market assigns a 60% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "大衛·布羅克·史密斯" at 28%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "俄勒岡州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.