Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 80.5% implied probability to 2.6M-2.8M TSA passengers screened on March 27, 2026, reflecting recent daily volumes clustering in this range—March 26 at 2.72M, March 23 at 2.64M, and March 20 at 2.77M—amid record spring break demand projecting 171 million flyers through April. Government shutdown-induced TSA staffing shortages, with absences up to 40% at key hubs like Atlanta and Houston, have capped upside potential despite sustained consumer travel momentum ahead of Easter on April 5, as evidenced by year-over-year declines like -9% on March 26. Lower bins (<2.6M at 4%) price in prolonged line disruptions potentially deterring last-minute flyers, with resolution pending official TSA release.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於2.6M-2.8M 94%
2.8M-3.0M 9%
<2.6M 4.0%
3.0M-3.2M 2.6%
$23,191 交易量
$23,191 交易量
<2.6M
4%
2.6M-2.8M
81%
2.8M-3.0M
9%
3.0M-3.2M
3%
3.2M-3.4M
<1%
>3.4M
<1%
2.6M-2.8M 94%
2.8M-3.0M 9%
<2.6M 4.0%
3.0M-3.2M 2.6%
$23,191 交易量
$23,191 交易量
<2.6M
4%
2.6M-2.8M
81%
2.8M-3.0M
9%
3.0M-3.2M
3%
3.2M-3.4M
<1%
>3.4M
<1%
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
市場開放時間: Mar 23, 2026, 5:54 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumesResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
Resolution Source
https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumesResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 80.5% implied probability to 2.6M-2.8M TSA passengers screened on March 27, 2026, reflecting recent daily volumes clustering in this range—March 26 at 2.72M, March 23 at 2.64M, and March 20 at 2.77M—amid record spring break demand projecting 171 million flyers through April. Government shutdown-induced TSA staffing shortages, with absences up to 40% at key hubs like Atlanta and Houston, have capped upside potential despite sustained consumer travel momentum ahead of Easter on April 5, as evidenced by year-over-year declines like -9% on March 26. Lower bins (<2.6M at 4%) price in prolonged line disruptions potentially deterring last-minute flyers, with resolution pending official TSA release.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions