Market icon
地緣政治·伊朗

Nechirvan Barzani出任庫爾德斯坦地區政府總裁？

Market icon
地緣政治·伊朗

Nechirvan Barzani出任庫爾德斯坦地區政府總裁？

是

8% 機率
Polymarket

$12,737 交易量

是

8% 機率
Polymarket

$12,737 交易量

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nechirvan Barzani ceases to be the President of the Kurdistan Regional Government for any period of time between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Barzani’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Nechirvan Barzani and the Kurdistan Regional Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Kurdistan Regional Government President Nechirvan Barzani remains firmly in office amid heightened regional tensions, with traders pricing an 86% implied probability against his removal due to his active diplomatic engagements and the absence of any resignation signals or parliamentary challenges. A drone attack on his Duhok residence last week—repelled by air defenses and drawing condemnations from leaders including Turkish President Erdoğan and Jordan's King—was framed by Barzani as external aggression, reinforcing KRG neutrality in Iraq-Iran conflicts without impacting his leadership. Recent calls with U.S. President Trump, French President Macron, and others underscore his stabilizing role, while no term-end election or KDP-PUK coalition shifts have emerged to alter trader consensus on continuity.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nechirvan Barzani ceases to be the President of the Kurdistan Regional Government for any period of time between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Barzani’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Nechirvan Barzani and the Kurdistan Regional Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$12,737
結束日期
2026-06-30
市場開放時間
Mar 6, 2026, 1:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nechirvan Barzani ceases to be the President of the Kurdistan Regional Government for any period of time between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Barzani’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Nechirvan Barzani and the Kurdistan Regional Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nechirvan Barzani ceases to be the President of the Kurdistan Regional Government for any period of time between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Barzani’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Nechirvan Barzani and the Kurdistan Regional Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Kurdistan Regional Government President Nechirvan Barzani remains firmly in office amid heightened regional tensions, with traders pricing an 86% implied probability against his removal due to his active diplomatic engagements and the absence of any resignation signals or parliamentary challenges. A drone attack on his Duhok residence last week—repelled by air defenses and drawing condemnations from leaders including Turkish President Erdoğan and Jordan's King—was framed by Barzani as external aggression, reinforcing KRG neutrality in Iraq-Iran conflicts without impacting his leadership. Recent calls with U.S. President Trump, French President Macron, and others underscore his stabilizing role, while no term-end election or KDP-PUK coalition shifts have emerged to alter trader consensus on continuity.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nechirvan Barzani ceases to be the President of the Kurdistan Regional Government for any period of time between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Barzani’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Nechirvan Barzani and the Kurdistan Regional Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$12,737
結束日期
2026-06-30
市場開放時間
Mar 6, 2026, 1:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nechirvan Barzani ceases to be the President of the Kurdistan Regional Government for any period of time between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Barzani’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Nechirvan Barzani and the Kurdistan Regional Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Nechirvan Barzani出任庫爾德斯坦地區政府總裁？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "尼奇爾萬·巴爾扎尼將不再擔任庫爾德自治區政府總統？" at 14%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 14¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 14% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Nechirvan Barzani出任庫爾德斯坦地區政府總裁？" has generated $12.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 6, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Nechirvan Barzani出任庫爾德斯坦地區政府總裁？," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Nechirvan Barzani出任庫爾德斯坦地區政府總裁？" is "尼奇爾萬·巴爾扎尼將不再擔任庫爾德自治區政府總統？" at 14%, meaning the market assigns a 14% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Nechirvan Barzani出任庫爾德斯坦地區政府總裁？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.