Market icon
政治·主要

MI-10民主黨初選獲勝者

Market icon
政治·主要

MI-10民主黨初選獲勝者

Eric Chung 59%

蒂姆·格雷梅爾 21%

克莉絲蒂娜·海恩斯 18%

Tripp Adams 5.1%

Polymarket

$29,812 交易量

Eric Chung 59%

蒂姆·格雷梅爾 21%

克莉絲蒂娜·海恩斯 18%

Tripp Adams 5.1%

Polymarket

$29,812 交易量

Eric Chung

$0 交易量

59%

蒂姆·格雷梅爾

$26,386 交易量

21%

克莉絲蒂娜·海恩斯

$1,149 交易量

18%

Tripp Adams

$1,481 交易量

5%

Brian Jaye

$797 交易量

4%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Eric Chung leads trader consensus at 59% implied probability to win Michigan's 10th Congressional District Democratic primary on August 4, reflecting his fundraising edge—strong Q4 2025 receipts topping rivals and highest cash reserves per February FEC disclosures—and an early mid-July poll showing him at 48%. Recent grassroots momentum, including a packed February kickoff and March community events in Sterling Heights, bolsters his position as son of a Macomb auto worker with Commerce Department experience. Tim Greimel (20.5%) benefits from January Michigan firefighters endorsement and $480,000 cash-on-hand, while Christina Hines (18.5%) leverages EMILY's List backing amid a fragmented field in this open R+3 battleground. Q1 filings due April could shift dynamics ahead of Michigan's open primary system.

Eric Chung leads trader consensus at 59% implied probability to win Michigan's 10th Congressional District Democratic primary on August 4, reflecting his fundraising edge—strong Q4 2025 receipts topping rivals and highest cash reserves per February FEC disclosures—and an early mid-July poll showing him at 48%. Recent grassroots momentum, including a packed February kickoff and March community events in Sterling Heights, bolsters his position as son of a Macomb auto worker with Commerce Department experience. Tim Greimel (20.5%) benefits from January Michigan firefighters endorsement and $480,000 cash-on-hand, while Christina Hines (18.5%) leverages EMILY's List backing amid a fragmented field in this open R+3 battleground. Q1 filings due April could shift dynamics ahead of Michigan's open primary system.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Eric Chung leads trader consensus at 59% implied probability to win Michigan's 10th Congressional District Democratic primary on August 4, reflecting his fundraising edge—strong Q4 2025 receipts topping rivals and highest cash reserves per February FEC disclosures—and an early mid-July poll showing him at 48%. Recent grassroots momentum, including a packed February kickoff and March community events in Sterling Heights, bolsters his position as son of a Macomb auto worker with Commerce Department experience. Tim Greimel (20.5%) benefits from January Michigan firefighters endorsement and $480,000 cash-on-hand, while Christina Hines (18.5%) leverages EMILY's List backing amid a fragmented field in this open R+3 battleground. Q1 filings due April could shift dynamics ahead of Michigan's open primary system.

Eric Chung leads trader consensus at 59% implied probability to win Michigan's 10th Congressional District Democratic primary on August 4, reflecting his fundraising edge—strong Q4 2025 receipts topping rivals and highest cash reserves per February FEC disclosures—and an early mid-July poll showing him at 48%. Recent grassroots momentum, including a packed February kickoff and March community events in Sterling Heights, bolsters his position as son of a Macomb auto worker with Commerce Department experience. Tim Greimel (20.5%) benefits from January Michigan firefighters endorsement and $480,000 cash-on-hand, while Christina Hines (18.5%) leverages EMILY's List backing amid a fragmented field in this open R+3 battleground. Q1 filings due April could shift dynamics ahead of Michigan's open primary system.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"MI-10民主黨初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Eric Chung" at 59%, followed by "蒂姆·格雷梅爾" at 21%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 59¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 59% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "MI-10民主黨初選獲勝者" has generated $29.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 25, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "MI-10民主黨初選獲勝者," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MI-10民主黨初選獲勝者" is "Eric Chung" at 59%, meaning the market assigns a 59% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "蒂姆·格雷梅爾" at 21%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MI-10民主黨初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.