Market icon
地緣政治·以色列

馬哈茂德·阿巴斯（ Mahmoud Abbas ）在...前擔任巴勒斯坦總統

Market icon
地緣政治·以色列

馬哈茂德·阿巴斯（ Mahmoud Abbas ）在...前擔任巴勒斯坦總統

$96,868 交易量

2026-06-30
Polymarket

$96,868 交易量

Polymarket

6月30日

$52,584 交易量

19%

12月31日

$44,284 交易量

39%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mahmoud Abbas ceases to be President of the Palestinian National Authority for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Mahmoud Abbas's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mahmoud Abbas and the Palestinian National Authority; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Mahmoud Abbas, 91, remains Palestinian Authority president, actively condemning Israel's March 31 death penalty law for Palestinians convicted of killing Israelis, prompting Fatah-called strikes across the West Bank on April 1-2. His January 12 hospitalization for routine tests fueled brief succession speculation, but he was quickly discharged and resumed duties, including decrees barring Hamas from upcoming municipal elections. Traders assess entrenched Fatah control and no constitutional election mechanism since his 2009 term expiry against health risks, Israeli pressures eroding PA finances, and October 2025 elevation of Hussein al-Sheikh as interim successor. No imminent departure signals; focus on Gaza diplomacy and coalition tensions could influence stability.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mahmoud Abbas ceases to be President of the Palestinian National Authority for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Mahmoud Abbas's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mahmoud Abbas and the Palestinian National Authority; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$96,868
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Jan 5, 2026, 5:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mahmoud Abbas ceases to be President of the Palestinian National Authority for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Mahmoud Abbas's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mahmoud Abbas and the Palestinian National Authority; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mahmoud Abbas ceases to be President of the Palestinian National Authority for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Mahmoud Abbas's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mahmoud Abbas and the Palestinian National Authority; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Mahmoud Abbas, 91, remains Palestinian Authority president, actively condemning Israel's March 31 death penalty law for Palestinians convicted of killing Israelis, prompting Fatah-called strikes across the West Bank on April 1-2. His January 12 hospitalization for routine tests fueled brief succession speculation, but he was quickly discharged and resumed duties, including decrees barring Hamas from upcoming municipal elections. Traders assess entrenched Fatah control and no constitutional election mechanism since his 2009 term expiry against health risks, Israeli pressures eroding PA finances, and October 2025 elevation of Hussein al-Sheikh as interim successor. No imminent departure signals; focus on Gaza diplomacy and coalition tensions could influence stability.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mahmoud Abbas ceases to be President of the Palestinian National Authority for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Mahmoud Abbas's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mahmoud Abbas and the Palestinian National Authority; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$96,868
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Jan 5, 2026, 5:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mahmoud Abbas ceases to be President of the Palestinian National Authority for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Mahmoud Abbas's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mahmoud Abbas and the Palestinian National Authority; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"馬哈茂德·阿巴斯（ Mahmoud Abbas ）在...前擔任巴勒斯坦總統" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "12月31日" at 39%, followed by "6月30日" at 19%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 39¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 39% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "馬哈茂德·阿巴斯（ Mahmoud Abbas ）在...前擔任巴勒斯坦總統" has generated $96.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 5, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "馬哈茂德·阿巴斯（ Mahmoud Abbas ）在...前擔任巴勒斯坦總統," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "馬哈茂德·阿巴斯（ Mahmoud Abbas ）在...前擔任巴勒斯坦總統" is "12月31日" at 39%, meaning the market assigns a 39% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "6月30日" at 19%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "馬哈茂德·阿巴斯（ Mahmoud Abbas ）在...前擔任巴勒斯坦總統" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.