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政治·主要

堪薩斯州州長民主黨初選獲勝者

Market icon
政治·主要

堪薩斯州州長民主黨初選獲勝者

伊桑·科森 71%

辛蒂·霍爾舍爾 29%

馬蒂·圖利 1.2%

Polymarket

$52,132 交易量

伊桑·科森 71%

辛蒂·霍爾舍爾 29%

馬蒂·圖利 1.2%

Polymarket

$52,132 交易量

伊桑·科森

$1,279 交易量

71%

辛蒂·霍爾舍爾

$1,506 交易量

29%

馬蒂·圖利

$49,347 交易量

1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Kansas, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Kansas Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Ethan Corson's commanding fundraising lead—over $900,000 raised in 2025 with $527,000 cash on hand entering 2026—alongside key endorsements from former Gov. Kathleen Sebelius, Lt. Gov. David Toland, Gov. Laura Kelly, and Planned Parenthood on March 23, drives trader consensus to a 70.5% implied probability for the August 4 Kansas Democratic gubernatorial primary. State Sen. Cindy Holscher holds at 28.5% on her Senate Minority Whip experience and earlier campaign polling showing competitiveness, while outsider Marty Tuley lingers at 1.4%. A March 8 debate at the Kansas Democratic Party convention emphasized affordability, health care, and rural voter outreach amid high early undecided rates, but Corson's resources favor consolidation in this Johnson County-heavy field.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Kansas, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Kansas Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$52,132
結束日期
2026-08-04
市場開放時間
Dec 10, 2025, 7:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Kansas, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Kansas Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Kansas, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Kansas Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Ethan Corson's commanding fundraising lead—over $900,000 raised in 2025 with $527,000 cash on hand entering 2026—alongside key endorsements from former Gov. Kathleen Sebelius, Lt. Gov. David Toland, Gov. Laura Kelly, and Planned Parenthood on March 23, drives trader consensus to a 70.5% implied probability for the August 4 Kansas Democratic gubernatorial primary. State Sen. Cindy Holscher holds at 28.5% on her Senate Minority Whip experience and earlier campaign polling showing competitiveness, while outsider Marty Tuley lingers at 1.4%. A March 8 debate at the Kansas Democratic Party convention emphasized affordability, health care, and rural voter outreach amid high early undecided rates, but Corson's resources favor consolidation in this Johnson County-heavy field.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Kansas, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Kansas Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$52,132
結束日期
2026-08-04
市場開放時間
Dec 10, 2025, 7:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Kansas, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Kansas Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"堪薩斯州州長民主黨初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "伊桑·科森" at 71%, followed by "辛蒂·霍爾舍爾" at 28%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 71¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 71% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "堪薩斯州州長民主黨初選獲勝者" has generated $52.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "堪薩斯州州長民主黨初選獲勝者," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "堪薩斯州州長民主黨初選獲勝者" is "伊桑·科森" at 71%, meaning the market assigns a 71% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "辛蒂·霍爾舍爾" at 28%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "堪薩斯州州長民主黨初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.