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政治·Jerome Powell

傑羅姆·鮑威爾在…前擔任聯儲局主席？

Market icon
政治·Jerome Powell

傑羅姆·鮑威爾在…前擔任聯儲局主席？

$2,101,504 交易量

2026-05-14
Polymarket

$2,101,504 交易量

Polymarket

5月14日

$1,098,967 交易量

3%

5月31日

$2,645 交易量

66%

6月30日

$4,523 交易量

91%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Jerome Powell's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jerome Powell's term as Federal Reserve Chair expires May 15, 2026, but he has stated he will remain until successor Kevin Warsh secures Senate confirmation following President Trump's January nomination. Trump's April 15 Fox Business remarks threatening to fire Powell if he lingers post-term have heightened tensions, though the Federal Reserve Act limits removal to "for cause," creating legal barriers and market uncertainty. Ongoing DOJ probe into $2.5 billion Fed headquarters renovations adds pressure. Traders focus on Warsh's looming confirmation hearing and Senate dynamics, including potential holdouts, as pivotal to whether Powell vacates the chairmanship within the market's resolution window.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Jerome Powell's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$2,101,504
結束日期
2026-05-14
市場開放時間
Jan 4, 2026, 2:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Jerome Powell's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Jerome Powell's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jerome Powell's term as Federal Reserve Chair expires May 15, 2026, but he has stated he will remain until successor Kevin Warsh secures Senate confirmation following President Trump's January nomination. Trump's April 15 Fox Business remarks threatening to fire Powell if he lingers post-term have heightened tensions, though the Federal Reserve Act limits removal to "for cause," creating legal barriers and market uncertainty. Ongoing DOJ probe into $2.5 billion Fed headquarters renovations adds pressure. Traders focus on Warsh's looming confirmation hearing and Senate dynamics, including potential holdouts, as pivotal to whether Powell vacates the chairmanship within the market's resolution window.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Jerome Powell's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$2,101,504
結束日期
2026-05-14
市場開放時間
Jan 4, 2026, 2:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Jerome Powell's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"傑羅姆·鮑威爾在…前擔任聯儲局主席？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "6月30日" at 91%, followed by "5月31日" at 66%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 91¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 91% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "傑羅姆·鮑威爾在…前擔任聯儲局主席？" has generated $2.1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 4, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "傑羅姆·鮑威爾在…前擔任聯儲局主席？," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "傑羅姆·鮑威爾在…前擔任聯儲局主席？" is "6月30日" at 91%, meaning the market assigns a 91% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "5月31日" at 66%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "傑羅姆·鮑威爾在…前擔任聯儲局主席？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.