Met Office observations from London stations, including central Greater London and Heathrow Airport, confirm the highest temperature on March 30, 2026, reached 12°C around 3-4 p.m. local time, with provisional data updated by late afternoon amid overcast skies and northwest winds limiting solar heating. This aligns with forecast model consensus from the UK Met Office, which predicted maxima in the 11-13°C range under a cool northerly airflow pattern typical for late March, cooler than mid-month peaks near 19-20°C. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 12°C reflects this skin-in-the-game alignment with authoritative measurements. Realistic challenges would require post hoc quality control revisions uncovering a higher unlogged peak, though such adjustments are rare for well-monitored urban sites; final daily extremes report expected soon.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於3月30日倫敦的最高溫度?
3月30日倫敦的最高溫度?
12°C 100.0%
7°C或以下 <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$297,148 交易量
$297,148 交易量
7°C或以下
否
8°C
否
9°C
否
10°C
否
11°C
否
12°C
是
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C或以上
否
12°C 100.0%
7°C或以下 <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$297,148 交易量
$297,148 交易量
7°C或以下
否
8°C
否
9°C
否
10°C
否
11°C
否
12°C
是
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C或以上
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 29, 2026, 1:49 PM ET
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Met Office observations from London stations, including central Greater London and Heathrow Airport, confirm the highest temperature on March 30, 2026, reached 12°C around 3-4 p.m. local time, with provisional data updated by late afternoon amid overcast skies and northwest winds limiting solar heating. This aligns with forecast model consensus from the UK Met Office, which predicted maxima in the 11-13°C range under a cool northerly airflow pattern typical for late March, cooler than mid-month peaks near 19-20°C. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 12°C reflects this skin-in-the-game alignment with authoritative measurements. Realistic challenges would require post hoc quality control revisions uncovering a higher unlogged peak, though such adjustments are rare for well-monitored urban sites; final daily extremes report expected soon.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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