Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a Dallas high temperature of 86-87°F on March 19, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast pinning the peak at 86°F amid a persistent upper-level ridge amplifying heat over North Texas. Ensemble models from GFS and ECMWF show tight agreement, with 12-km HRRR runs reinforcing this through dewpoint depressions supporting daytime heating to those levels. Historical March data for Dallas-Fort Worth averages 67°F highs, making this an outlier but consistent with early-spring warm surges. Realistic challenges include an unexpected dryline bulge or nocturnal cold front surge, though low-probability per current 500-mb charts, potentially nudging temps toward 88°F or higher if heating accelerates unchecked.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於3月19日達拉斯的最高溫度?
3月19日達拉斯的最高溫度?
86-87°F 100.0%
73°F或以下 <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$100,913 交易量
$100,913 交易量
73°F或以下
否
74-75°F
否
76-77°F
否
78-79°F
否
80-81°F
否
82-83°F
否
84-85°F
否
86-87°F
是
88-89°F
否
90-91°F
否
92°F或更高
否
86-87°F 100.0%
73°F或以下 <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$100,913 交易量
$100,913 交易量
73°F或以下
否
74-75°F
否
76-77°F
否
78-79°F
否
80-81°F
否
82-83°F
否
84-85°F
否
86-87°F
是
88-89°F
否
90-91°F
否
92°F或更高
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 15, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a Dallas high temperature of 86-87°F on March 19, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast pinning the peak at 86°F amid a persistent upper-level ridge amplifying heat over North Texas. Ensemble models from GFS and ECMWF show tight agreement, with 12-km HRRR runs reinforcing this through dewpoint depressions supporting daytime heating to those levels. Historical March data for Dallas-Fort Worth averages 67°F highs, making this an outlier but consistent with early-spring warm surges. Realistic challenges include an unexpected dryline bulge or nocturnal cold front surge, though low-probability per current 500-mb charts, potentially nudging temps toward 88°F or higher if heating accelerates unchecked.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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