Official observations from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) at Aeroparque Jorge Newbery station—the standard reference for Buenos Aires temperature records—confirm the highest temperature on March 27 reached exactly 26°C, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on this outcome. This aligns with SMN's pre-event forecast of a maximum near 27°C amid partly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and moderate northeasterly winds that capped daytime heating, consistent with late-autumn climatology where March averages hover around 24°C. Global models like ECMWF and GFS also projected similar modest peaks. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data revisions from quality assurance or disputes over station selection, though SMN validations are authoritative and final for market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on March 27?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on March 27?
26°C 100.0%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$95,449 交易量
$95,449 交易量
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
26°C 100.0%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$95,449 交易量
$95,449 交易量
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 23, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official observations from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) at Aeroparque Jorge Newbery station—the standard reference for Buenos Aires temperature records—confirm the highest temperature on March 27 reached exactly 26°C, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on this outcome. This aligns with SMN's pre-event forecast of a maximum near 27°C amid partly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and moderate northeasterly winds that capped daytime heating, consistent with late-autumn climatology where March averages hover around 24°C. Global models like ECMWF and GFS also projected similar modest peaks. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data revisions from quality assurance or disputes over station selection, though SMN validations are authoritative and final for market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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