Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a peak of 84-85°F in Atlanta on March 27 at 29.5% implied probability, driven by the latest NOAA Weather Prediction Center and GFS/ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting highs in the mid-80s under a persistent upper-level ridge amplifying southerly flow and subsidence. Differentiating factors include model spread: drier ECMWF members nudge toward 86-87°F (20% odds) via stronger warm-air advection, while moister GFS outliers cap at 82-83°F (18.5%) from potential afternoon convection; historical late-March norms hover near 68°F, but this setup echoes 2023's anomalous warmth. Key watch: 00Z model updates and morning soundings for boundary layer stability, with resolution via official Hartsfield-Jackson observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Atlanta on March 27?
Highest temperature in Atlanta on March 27?
84-85°F 30%
86-87°F 19%
82-83°F 19%
80-81°F 13%
$11,680 交易量
$11,680 交易量
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
6%
80-81°F
13%
82-83°F
19%
84-85°F
30%
86-87°F
19%
88-89°F
11%
90-91°F
4%
92°F or higher
2%
84-85°F 30%
86-87°F 19%
82-83°F 19%
80-81°F 13%
$11,680 交易量
$11,680 交易量
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
6%
80-81°F
13%
82-83°F
19%
84-85°F
30%
86-87°F
19%
88-89°F
11%
90-91°F
4%
92°F or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 23, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a peak of 84-85°F in Atlanta on March 27 at 29.5% implied probability, driven by the latest NOAA Weather Prediction Center and GFS/ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting highs in the mid-80s under a persistent upper-level ridge amplifying southerly flow and subsidence. Differentiating factors include model spread: drier ECMWF members nudge toward 86-87°F (20% odds) via stronger warm-air advection, while moister GFS outliers cap at 82-83°F (18.5%) from potential afternoon convection; historical late-March norms hover near 68°F, but this setup echoes 2023's anomalous warmth. Key watch: 00Z model updates and morning soundings for boundary layer stability, with resolution via official Hartsfield-Jackson observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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