Trader sentiment heavily favors 82-83°F (29.5%) and 80-81°F (27.5%) for Miami's highest temperature on March 27, driven by NOAA and ECMWF ensemble forecasts converging on a peak near 82°F under a high-pressure ridge promoting sunny skies and light winds. Differentiating factors include recent GFS model runs biasing slightly warmer due to Gulf sea surface temperatures 1-2°F above normal, boosting daytime heating, versus potential sea-breeze onshore flow capping peaks at 80-81°F via coastal cooling. Historical March highs average 79°F, but lingering El Niño warmth elevates baselines; uncertainty hinges on afternoon convective timing, with NWS Miami updates key before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Miami on March 27?
Highest temperature in Miami on March 27?
82-83°F 29%
80-81°F 27%
78-79°F 20%
84-85°F 11%
71°F or below
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
20%
80-81°F
27%
82-83°F
29%
84-85°F
11%
86-87°F
6%
88-89°F
4%
90°F or higher
1%
82-83°F 29%
80-81°F 27%
78-79°F 20%
84-85°F 11%
71°F or below
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
20%
80-81°F
27%
82-83°F
29%
84-85°F
11%
86-87°F
6%
88-89°F
4%
90°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 23, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment heavily favors 82-83°F (29.5%) and 80-81°F (27.5%) for Miami's highest temperature on March 27, driven by NOAA and ECMWF ensemble forecasts converging on a peak near 82°F under a high-pressure ridge promoting sunny skies and light winds. Differentiating factors include recent GFS model runs biasing slightly warmer due to Gulf sea surface temperatures 1-2°F above normal, boosting daytime heating, versus potential sea-breeze onshore flow capping peaks at 80-81°F via coastal cooling. Historical March highs average 79°F, but lingering El Niño warmth elevates baselines; uncertainty hinges on afternoon convective timing, with NWS Miami updates key before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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