Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high of 16°C (38.5% implied probability) in Ankara on March 27, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS forecast model ensembles projecting peak afternoon temperatures in the 15–17°C range under a persistent upper-level ridge ushering mild continental air from the southeast. Recent 00Z model runs refined this outlook, upweighting warmer outcomes after observations showed above-average March temperatures so far, with Ankara's airport station logging 14–15°C highs in the past week amid light southerly flow. Historical late-March averages hover around 14°C, but current climatological warming trends and low cloud cover potential support the clustering around mid-teens; uncertainties include transient cold front risks. Turkish State Meteorological Service updates and 12Z model refreshes tomorrow could adjust these market-implied odds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於3月27日安卡拉的最高溫度?
3月27日安卡拉的最高溫度?
16°C 39%
17°C 26%
15°C 26%
14°C 5.1%
$14,319 交易量
$14,319 交易量
11°C或以下
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
2%
14°C
5%
15°C
26%
16°C
39%
17°C
26%
18°C
3%
19°C
2%
20°C
1%
21°C或以上
<1%
16°C 39%
17°C 26%
15°C 26%
14°C 5.1%
$14,319 交易量
$14,319 交易量
11°C或以下
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
2%
14°C
5%
15°C
26%
16°C
39%
17°C
26%
18°C
3%
19°C
2%
20°C
1%
21°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 23, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high of 16°C (38.5% implied probability) in Ankara on March 27, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS forecast model ensembles projecting peak afternoon temperatures in the 15–17°C range under a persistent upper-level ridge ushering mild continental air from the southeast. Recent 00Z model runs refined this outlook, upweighting warmer outcomes after observations showed above-average March temperatures so far, with Ankara's airport station logging 14–15°C highs in the past week amid light southerly flow. Historical late-March averages hover around 14°C, but current climatological warming trends and low cloud cover potential support the clustering around mid-teens; uncertainties include transient cold front risks. Turkish State Meteorological Service updates and 12Z model refreshes tomorrow could adjust these market-implied odds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions