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2026年票房最高的電影？

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2026年票房最高的電影？

12月 31

12月 31

蜘蛛人：全新一天 41%

復仇者聯盟：末日審判 33%

超級瑪利歐銀河電影 10%

奧德賽 4.0%

Polymarket

$3,016,810 交易量

蜘蛛人：全新一天 41%

復仇者聯盟：末日審判 33%

超級瑪利歐銀河電影 10%

奧德賽 4.0%

Polymarket

$3,016,810 交易量

蜘蛛人：全新一天

$124,510 交易量

41%

復仇者聯盟：末日審判

$187,747 交易量

33%

超級瑪利歐銀河電影

$127,792 交易量

10%

奧德賽

$340,043 交易量

4%

玩具總動員5

$149,604 交易量

3%

星際大戰：曼達洛人與格羅古

$112,541 交易量

1%

沙丘：彌賽亞

$202,115 交易量

1%

麥可

$574,224 交易量

1%

救援任務：海爾瑪麗號

$181,815 交易量

1%

飢餓遊戲：收割初曦

$221,897 交易量

<1%

呼嘯山莊

$255,909 交易量

<1%

野蠻遊戲3

$79,302 交易量

<1%

魔法壞女巫：永誌難忘

$358,188 交易量

<1%

驚聲尖叫7

$101,318 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available. Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day holds a 40.5% implied probability as 2026's highest-grossing film, propelled by its trailer shattering records with 718 million views in 24 hours and over 1 billion total last month, signaling massive presale potential for its July 31 summer release. Avengers: Doomsday trails at 32.5%, riding hype from Robert Downey Jr.'s Doctor Doom return and Chris Evans' involvement, though its December 18 slot faces stiff holiday competition like Dune: Messiah. The Super Mario Galaxy Movie's blockbuster $188 million-plus domestic 5-day Easter debut—2026's record opener—has only nudged its odds to 10%, as traders expect animated family fare's front-loaded multipliers to cap totals below MCU heavyweights' proven global legs amid historical precedents like the prior Mario Bros. at $1.36 billion. Key swings: Mario's holdover performance and Spider-Man tracking data.

This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available.

Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross.

In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner.

If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
交易量
$3,016,810
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Nov 12, 2025, 11:53 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available. Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available. Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day holds a 40.5% implied probability as 2026's highest-grossing film, propelled by its trailer shattering records with 718 million views in 24 hours and over 1 billion total last month, signaling massive presale potential for its July 31 summer release. Avengers: Doomsday trails at 32.5%, riding hype from Robert Downey Jr.'s Doctor Doom return and Chris Evans' involvement, though its December 18 slot faces stiff holiday competition like Dune: Messiah. The Super Mario Galaxy Movie's blockbuster $188 million-plus domestic 5-day Easter debut—2026's record opener—has only nudged its odds to 10%, as traders expect animated family fare's front-loaded multipliers to cap totals below MCU heavyweights' proven global legs amid historical precedents like the prior Mario Bros. at $1.36 billion. Key swings: Mario's holdover performance and Spider-Man tracking data.

This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available.

Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross.

In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner.

If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
交易量
$3,016,810
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Nov 12, 2025, 11:53 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available. Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"2026年票房最高的電影？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 14 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "蜘蛛人：全新一天" at 41%, followed by "復仇者聯盟：末日審判" at 33%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 41¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 41% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026年票房最高的電影？" has generated $3 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 12, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026年票房最高的電影？," browse the 14 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026年票房最高的電影？" is "蜘蛛人：全新一天" at 41%, meaning the market assigns a 41% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "復仇者聯盟：末日審判" at 33%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026年票房最高的電影？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.