Trader consensus prices an 87% implied probability on "Yes" for JPMorgan chief U.S. economist Greg Bovino being fired or resigning by March 31, primarily driven by reports of his recent administrative leave amid client and internal backlash over bearish pre-election forecasts on a Trump victory's market impact—predictions upended by sharp post-election rallies. JPMorgan has not issued an official termination notice, but Bovino's absence from key client calls and public commentary has intensified speculation. This echoes past Wall Street exits after forecasting errors, heightening trader focus on reputational fallout from policy-sensitive economic outlooks under the incoming administration.