Trader consensus heavily favors no coup attempt against Xi Jinping before 2027, reflecting the Chinese Communist Party's tightly controlled Leninist structure, extensive surveillance, and Xi's unchallenged dominance since securing a third term. January 2026's high-profile purge of Central Military Commission vice chairman Zhang Youxia and other PLA generals—framed officially as anti-corruption enforcement—sparked unverified rumors of internal power struggles or foiled plots, but no evidence of mobilization, arrests signaling disloyalty, or factional challenges emerged. Subsequent months have shown political stability, with Xi prioritizing military modernization amid economic pressures and Taiwan tensions. While elite purges persist, historical precedents indicate they preempt rather than invite coups; sudden health issues, economic collapse, or external shocks could shift dynamics before year-end resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
$119,439 交易量
$119,439 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$119,439 交易量
$119,439 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus heavily favors no coup attempt against Xi Jinping before 2027, reflecting the Chinese Communist Party's tightly controlled Leninist structure, extensive surveillance, and Xi's unchallenged dominance since securing a third term. January 2026's high-profile purge of Central Military Commission vice chairman Zhang Youxia and other PLA generals—framed officially as anti-corruption enforcement—sparked unverified rumors of internal power struggles or foiled plots, but no evidence of mobilization, arrests signaling disloyalty, or factional challenges emerged. Subsequent months have shown political stability, with Xi prioritizing military modernization amid economic pressures and Taiwan tensions. While elite purges persist, historical precedents indicate they preempt rather than invite coups; sudden health issues, economic collapse, or external shocks could shift dynamics before year-end resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間： Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$119,439結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus heavily favors no coup attempt against Xi Jinping before 2027, reflecting the Chinese Communist Party's tightly controlled Leninist structure, extensive surveillance, and Xi's unchallenged dominance since securing a third term. January 2026's high-profile purge of Central Military Commission vice chairman Zhang Youxia and other PLA generals—framed officially as anti-corruption enforcement—sparked unverified rumors of internal power struggles or foiled plots, but no evidence of mobilization, arrests signaling disloyalty, or factional challenges emerged. Subsequent months have shown political stability, with Xi prioritizing military modernization amid economic pressures and Taiwan tensions. While elite purges persist, historical precedents indicate they preempt rather than invite coups; sudden health issues, economic collapse, or external shocks could shift dynamics before year-end resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$119,439結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus heavily favors no coup attempt against Xi Jinping before 2027, reflecting the Chinese Communist Party's tightly controlled Leninist structure, extensive surveillance, and Xi's unchallenged dominance since securing a third term. January 2026's high-profile purge of Central Military Commission vice chairman Zhang Youxia and other PLA generals—framed officially as anti-corruption enforcement—sparked unverified rumors of internal power struggles or foiled plots, but no evidence of mobilization, arrests signaling disloyalty, or factional challenges emerged. Subsequent months have shown political stability, with Xi prioritizing military modernization amid economic pressures and Taiwan tensions. While elite purges persist, historical precedents indicate they preempt rather than invite coups; sudden health issues, economic collapse, or external shocks could shift dynamics before year-end resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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