Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 95% implied probability of no change in the Bank of Korea's base rate at its April 9 meeting, reflecting the central bank's unanimous February 26 decision to hold steady at 2.50%—its sixth consecutive pause—amid balanced economic risks, stable February CPI inflation at 2.0% year-over-year, and upgraded 2026 GDP growth forecasts to 2%. Recent Monetary Policy Board statements emphasize vigilant monitoring of domestic and external conditions without signaling imminent adjustment, aligning with Reuters polls forecasting steady rates through year-end. Realistic challenges include a sudden inflation surge from oil shocks or accelerated hawkishness from nominee Governor Shin Hyun-song, though current data supports the extended pause.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於維持不變 95%
下調 3.3%
上調 2.6%
$21,602 交易量
$21,602 交易量
下調
3%
維持不變
95%
上調
3%
維持不變 95%
下調 3.3%
上調 2.6%
$21,602 交易量
$21,602 交易量
下調
3%
維持不變
95%
上調
3%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its April 10, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their April 10, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
市場開放時間: Jan 15, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its April 10, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their April 10, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 95% implied probability of no change in the Bank of Korea's base rate at its April 9 meeting, reflecting the central bank's unanimous February 26 decision to hold steady at 2.50%—its sixth consecutive pause—amid balanced economic risks, stable February CPI inflation at 2.0% year-over-year, and upgraded 2026 GDP growth forecasts to 2%. Recent Monetary Policy Board statements emphasize vigilant monitoring of domestic and external conditions without signaling imminent adjustment, aligning with Reuters polls forecasting steady rates through year-end. Realistic challenges include a sudden inflation surge from oil shocks or accelerated hawkishness from nominee Governor Shin Hyun-song, though current data supports the extended pause.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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