Polymarket traders overwhelmingly price a 96% implied probability of a Central Bank of Colombia rate hike at the March 29 meeting, anchored by persistent inflation at 8.35% year-over-year in January—nearly triple the 3% target—and peso weakness near 3,950/USD fueling imported price pressures. The bank's hawkish February minutes, following January's 25-basis-point increase to 12.75%, underscore commitment to anchoring expectations amid sticky core inflation above 6%. Trader consensus reflects real capital betting on another 25bps move. Realistic challenges include a sharp February CPI drop below 7% (due March 5) or Fed pivot easing emerging-market funding stresses.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於加息 96%
維持不變 3.4%
降息 <1%
$80,351 交易量
$80,351 交易量
降息
1%
維持不變
3%
加息
96%
加息 96%
維持不變 3.4%
降息 <1%
$80,351 交易量
$80,351 交易量
降息
1%
維持不變
3%
加息
96%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Central Bank of Colombia after its March 31, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar: https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos.
This market may resolve as soon as the Central Bank of Colombia's statement for their March meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
市場開放時間: Dec 23, 2025, 5:42 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders overwhelmingly price a 96% implied probability of a Central Bank of Colombia rate hike at the March 29 meeting, anchored by persistent inflation at 8.35% year-over-year in January—nearly triple the 3% target—and peso weakness near 3,950/USD fueling imported price pressures. The bank's hawkish February minutes, following January's 25-basis-point increase to 12.75%, underscore commitment to anchoring expectations amid sticky core inflation above 6%. Trader consensus reflects real capital betting on another 25bps move. Realistic challenges include a sharp February CPI drop below 7% (due March 5) or Fed pivot easing emerging-market funding stresses.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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