Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in ChatGPT at a 100% implied probability for the #2 free iPhone app spot in the US Apple App Store on April 17, driven by real-time charts showing it firmly in second place behind TurboTax: File Your Tax Return amid peak tax season demand. OpenAI's AI chatbot continues dominating the productivity category through consistent user adoption, superior large language model capabilities, and recent updates enhancing features like voice mode and image generation, outpacing rivals Claude by Anthropic (currently #3) and Google Gemini (#4). This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects stable rankings observed over the past week, with no major disruptions. Realistic challenges include viral game launches like Netflix Game Controller, sudden Claude surges from Anthropic announcements, or post-tax promotional spikes displacing it before end-of-day resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於ChatGPT 100.0%
Claude by Anthropic <1%
Meta AI - Assistant & Glasses <1%
Freecash - Get Paid Real Money <1%
$7,501 交易量
$7,501 交易量

ChatGPT
Yes

Claude by Anthropic
No

Meta AI - Assistant & Glasses
No

Freecash - Get Paid Real Money
No

Netflix Game Controller
No

Google Gemini
No

No

Threads
No

TurboTax: File Your Tax Return
No
ChatGPT 100.0%
Claude by Anthropic <1%
Meta AI - Assistant & Glasses <1%
Freecash - Get Paid Real Money <1%
$7,501 交易量
$7,501 交易量

ChatGPT
Yes

Claude by Anthropic
No

Meta AI - Assistant & Glasses
No

Freecash - Get Paid Real Money
No

Netflix Game Controller
No

Google Gemini
No

No

Threads
No

TurboTax: File Your Tax Return
No
To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
市場開放時間: Apr 14, 2026, 6:50 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: Yes
無爭議
最終結果: Yes
To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: Yes
無爭議
最終結果: Yes
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in ChatGPT at a 100% implied probability for the #2 free iPhone app spot in the US Apple App Store on April 17, driven by real-time charts showing it firmly in second place behind TurboTax: File Your Tax Return amid peak tax season demand. OpenAI's AI chatbot continues dominating the productivity category through consistent user adoption, superior large language model capabilities, and recent updates enhancing features like voice mode and image generation, outpacing rivals Claude by Anthropic (currently #3) and Google Gemini (#4). This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects stable rankings observed over the past week, with no major disruptions. Realistic challenges include viral game launches like Netflix Game Controller, sudden Claude surges from Anthropic announcements, or post-tax promotional spikes displacing it before end-of-day resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions