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Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
50¢
99.5¢

Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Iran leadership change by December 31?

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
87.5¢
99.7¢

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
58.2¢
63.5¢

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
88.7¢
88.5¢

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
75¢
83.5¢

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
84¢
95¢

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?

Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?
51.7¢
60.5¢

Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
51.1¢
69.5¢

Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?

Will Thorsten Frei be the next leader of the German Union (CDU/CSU)?
85.3¢
98.4¢

Will Thorsten Frei be the next leader of the German Union (CDU/CSU)?

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?
42.1¢
97.5¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?

Will Anthropic have the highest private market valuation on July 31?
93.8¢
97.4¢

Will Anthropic have the highest private market valuation on July 31?

