Amid escalating tensions in the US-Iran conflict, Iran-aligned Iraqi militias have intensified drone and missile attacks on US diplomatic facilities in Baghdad's Green Zone, including strikes on the embassy's logistics center and diplomatic support sites in late March and early April 2026. The US Embassy issued urgent security alerts on April 2 and 8, warning of imminent assaults and ordering American citizens to depart Iraq immediately, while authorizing voluntary departure of nonessential personnel; no full-scale evacuation has occurred as of late April explosions near the embassy prompted air defense activations. Following the US-led coalition's complete troop withdrawal from federal Iraq in January 2026, the embassy remains operational but vulnerable, with traders monitoring State Department announcements, militia threats, and potential retaliatory US actions for resolution triggers.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$427,985 KL.
Feb 28, 2026
Ngày 28 tháng 2
Không
31 tháng 3
Không
30 tháng 4
Không
$427,985 KL.
Ngày 28 tháng 2
$53,991 KL.
Không
31 tháng 3
$339,990 KL.
Không
30 tháng 4
$34,004 KL.
Không
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Baghdad, Iraq, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government, or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Baghdad, Iraq, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government, or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Baghdad, Iraq, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government, or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. Amid escalating tensions in the US-Iran conflict, Iran-aligned Iraqi militias have intensified drone and missile attacks on US diplomatic facilities in Baghdad's Green Zone, including strikes on the embassy's logistics center and diplomatic support sites in late March and early April 2026. The US Embassy issued urgent security alerts on April 2 and 8, warning of imminent assaults and ordering American citizens to depart Iraq immediately, while authorizing voluntary departure of nonessential personnel; no full-scale evacuation has occurred as of late April explosions near the embassy prompted air defense activations. Following the US-led coalition's complete troop withdrawal from federal Iraq in January 2026, the embassy remains operational but vulnerable, with traders monitoring State Department announcements, militia threats, and potential retaliatory US actions for resolution triggers.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Baghdad, Iraq, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government, or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government, or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
Thị trường mở: Jan 30, 2026, 7:21 PM ET
Khối lượng
$427,985Ngày kết thúc
Mar 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 30, 2026, 7:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Kết quả đề xuất: Không
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: Không
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Baghdad, Iraq, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government, or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Baghdad, Iraq, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government, or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Baghdad, Iraq, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government, or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. Amid escalating tensions in the US-Iran conflict, Iran-aligned Iraqi militias have intensified drone and missile attacks on US diplomatic facilities in Baghdad's Green Zone, including strikes on the embassy's logistics center and diplomatic support sites in late March and early April 2026. The US Embassy issued urgent security alerts on April 2 and 8, warning of imminent assaults and ordering American citizens to depart Iraq immediately, while authorizing voluntary departure of nonessential personnel; no full-scale evacuation has occurred as of late April explosions near the embassy prompted air defense activations. Following the US-led coalition's complete troop withdrawal from federal Iraq in January 2026, the embassy remains operational but vulnerable, with traders monitoring State Department announcements, militia threats, and potential retaliatory US actions for resolution triggers.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Baghdad, Iraq, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government, or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government, or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
Khối lượng
$427,985Ngày kết thúc
Mar 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 30, 2026, 7:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Kết quả đề xuất: Không
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: Không
Amid escalating tensions in the US-Iran conflict, Iran-aligned Iraqi militias have intensified drone and missile attacks on US diplomatic facilities in Baghdad's Green Zone, including strikes on the embassy's logistics center and diplomatic support sites in late March and early April 2026. The US Embassy issued urgent security alerts on April 2 and 8, warning of imminent assaults and ordering American citizens to depart Iraq immediately, while authorizing voluntary departure of nonessential personnel; no full-scale evacuation has occurred as of late April explosions near the embassy prompted air defense activations. Following the US-led coalition's complete troop withdrawal from federal Iraq in January 2026, the embassy remains operational but vulnerable, with traders monitoring State Department announcements, militia threats, and potential retaliatory US actions for resolution triggers.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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