Farsi Island, a small Persian Gulf outpost primarily serving as an Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps naval facility, has not faced reported US strikes or territorial challenges amid the broader 2026 US-Iran conflict centered on the Strait of Hormuz. US operations have targeted higher-value sites such as Kharg Island’s oil infrastructure, Qeshm’s missile and radar positions, Larak, and the disputed Tunb and Abu Musa islands to disrupt Iranian maritime denial capabilities and shipping threats. Iran has responded with missile launches, exclusion zone declarations, and mine-laying attempts, while maintaining administrative and military authority over its islands. No official statements, satellite evidence, or credible reporting indicate any shift in sovereignty or control of Farsi Island itself. Trader consensus reflects the low probability of seizure or handover by late 2026 absent a major escalation or ground operation specifically directed at this limited strategic asset.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtFarsi Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
Farsi Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
$197,815 KL.
Sep 30, 2026
September 30
1%
$197,815 KL.
September 30
$20,545 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Farsi Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Farsi Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Farsi Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.Farsi Island, a small Persian Gulf outpost primarily serving as an Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps naval facility, has not faced reported US strikes or territorial challenges amid the broader 2026 US-Iran conflict centered on the Strait of Hormuz. US operations have targeted higher-value sites such as Kharg Island’s oil infrastructure, Qeshm’s missile and radar positions, Larak, and the disputed Tunb and Abu Musa islands to disrupt Iranian maritime denial capabilities and shipping threats. Iran has responded with missile launches, exclusion zone declarations, and mine-laying attempts, while maintaining administrative and military authority over its islands. No official statements, satellite evidence, or credible reporting indicate any shift in sovereignty or control of Farsi Island itself. Trader consensus reflects the low probability of seizure or handover by late 2026 absent a major escalation or ground operation specifically directed at this limited strategic asset.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Farsi Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Farsi Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Farsi Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Farsi Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Farsi Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: Aug 26, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Khối lượng
$197,815Ngày kết thúc
Oct 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 26, 2026, 11:09 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Farsi Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Farsi Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Farsi Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.Farsi Island, a small Persian Gulf outpost primarily serving as an Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps naval facility, has not faced reported US strikes or territorial challenges amid the broader 2026 US-Iran conflict centered on the Strait of Hormuz. US operations have targeted higher-value sites such as Kharg Island’s oil infrastructure, Qeshm’s missile and radar positions, Larak, and the disputed Tunb and Abu Musa islands to disrupt Iranian maritime denial capabilities and shipping threats. Iran has responded with missile launches, exclusion zone declarations, and mine-laying attempts, while maintaining administrative and military authority over its islands. No official statements, satellite evidence, or credible reporting indicate any shift in sovereignty or control of Farsi Island itself. Trader consensus reflects the low probability of seizure or handover by late 2026 absent a major escalation or ground operation specifically directed at this limited strategic asset.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Farsi Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Farsi Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Farsi Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Farsi Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Farsi Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
Khối lượng
$197,815Ngày kết thúc
Oct 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 26, 2026, 11:09 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...Farsi Island, a small Persian Gulf outpost primarily serving as an Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps naval facility, has not faced reported US strikes or territorial challenges amid the broader 2026 US-Iran conflict centered on the Strait of Hormuz. US operations have targeted higher-value sites such as Kharg Island’s oil infrastructure, Qeshm’s missile and radar positions, Larak, and the disputed Tunb and Abu Musa islands to disrupt Iranian maritime denial capabilities and shipping threats. Iran has responded with missile launches, exclusion zone declarations, and mine-laying attempts, while maintaining administrative and military authority over its islands. No official statements, satellite evidence, or credible reporting indicate any shift in sovereignty or control of Farsi Island itself. Trader consensus reflects the low probability of seizure or handover by late 2026 absent a major escalation or ground operation specifically directed at this limited strategic asset.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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