Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 91.5% implied probability for California's 7th Congressional District House seat, reflecting its safe Democratic rating from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball, bolstered by 42% Democratic voter registration versus 29% Republican and incumbent Rep. Doris Matsui's dominant fundraising with over $1 million cash on hand as of late March. Recent redistricting via Proposition 50 incorporated more conservative areas, yet the district remains reliably blue, as evidenced by Matsui's 67% win in 2024 and Kamala Harris's 55% in the 2024 presidential vote. An April forum highlighted progressive challenger Mai Vang's traction against Matsui in the June 2 top-two primary, but the weak Republican field—attorney Ralph Nwobi and councilman Zachariah Wooden—poses little threat to advancement or victory. Scenarios challenging this include a major Democratic scandal or unprecedented GOP turnout surge ahead of the November 3 general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоCA-07 House Election Winner
CA-07 House Election Winner
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
92%
Republican Party
9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$1,855 Обс.
92%
Republican Party
$715 Обс.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 91.5% implied probability for California's 7th Congressional District House seat, reflecting its safe Democratic rating from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball, bolstered by 42% Democratic voter registration versus 29% Republican and incumbent Rep. Doris Matsui's dominant fundraising with over $1 million cash on hand as of late March. Recent redistricting via Proposition 50 incorporated more conservative areas, yet the district remains reliably blue, as evidenced by Matsui's 67% win in 2024 and Kamala Harris's 55% in the 2024 presidential vote. An April forum highlighted progressive challenger Mai Vang's traction against Matsui in the June 2 top-two primary, but the weak Republican field—attorney Ralph Nwobi and councilman Zachariah Wooden—poses little threat to advancement or victory. Scenarios challenging this include a major Democratic scandal or unprecedented GOP turnout surge ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Обсяг
$2,569Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 91.5% implied probability for California's 7th Congressional District House seat, reflecting its safe Democratic rating from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball, bolstered by 42% Democratic voter registration versus 29% Republican and incumbent Rep. Doris Matsui's dominant fundraising with over $1 million cash on hand as of late March. Recent redistricting via Proposition 50 incorporated more conservative areas, yet the district remains reliably blue, as evidenced by Matsui's 67% win in 2024 and Kamala Harris's 55% in the 2024 presidential vote. An April forum highlighted progressive challenger Mai Vang's traction against Matsui in the June 2 top-two primary, but the weak Republican field—attorney Ralph Nwobi and councilman Zachariah Wooden—poses little threat to advancement or victory. Scenarios challenging this include a major Democratic scandal or unprecedented GOP turnout surge ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$2,569Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 91.5% implied probability for California's 7th Congressional District House seat, reflecting its safe Democratic rating from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball, bolstered by 42% Democratic voter registration versus 29% Republican and incumbent Rep. Doris Matsui's dominant fundraising with over $1 million cash on hand as of late March. Recent redistricting via Proposition 50 incorporated more conservative areas, yet the district remains reliably blue, as evidenced by Matsui's 67% win in 2024 and Kamala Harris's 55% in the 2024 presidential vote. An April forum highlighted progressive challenger Mai Vang's traction against Matsui in the June 2 top-two primary, but the weak Republican field—attorney Ralph Nwobi and councilman Zachariah Wooden—poses little threat to advancement or victory. Scenarios challenging this include a major Democratic scandal or unprecedented GOP turnout surge ahead of the November 3 general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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