Recent US economic indicators and Federal Reserve signals have anchored trader consensus around a modest July monthly CPI increase, with the ≥0.1% outcome holding a 63% implied probability. Persistent core services and shelter components, alongside stable energy prices, have offset broader disinflation trends from earlier in 2026, limiting downside risks to the 0.0% bucket at 33%. Aggregated positioning reflects skin-in-the-game assessment of labor market resilience and incoming data releases rather than aggressive rate-path shifts. The August CPI print timing remains the key near-term catalyst that could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено≥0.1% 63%
0.0% 33%
-0.1% 5.5%
≤-0.7% <1%
$194,906 Обс.
$194,906 Обс.
Aug 12, 2026
≤-0.7%
<1%
-0.6%
<1%
-0.5%
<1%
-0.4%
<1%
-0.3%
<1%
-0.2%
<1%
-0.1%
6%
0.0%
33%
≥0.1%
63%
≥0.1% 63%
0.0% 33%
-0.1% 5.5%
≤-0.7% <1%
$194,906 Обс.
$194,906 Обс.
Aug 12, 2026
≤-0.7%
$13,893 Обс.
<1%
-0.6%
$10,025 Обс.
<1%
-0.5%
$7,682 Обс.
<1%
-0.4%
$6,416 Обс.
<1%
-0.3%
$7,058 Обс.
<1%
-0.2%
$7,614 Обс.
<1%
-0.1%
$15,317 Обс.
6%
0.0%
$41,042 Обс.
33%
≥0.1%
$85,859 Обс.
63%
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent US economic indicators and Federal Reserve signals have anchored trader consensus around a modest July monthly CPI increase, with the ≥0.1% outcome holding a 63% implied probability. Persistent core services and shelter components, alongside stable energy prices, have offset broader disinflation trends from earlier in 2026, limiting downside risks to the 0.0% bucket at 33%. Aggregated positioning reflects skin-in-the-game assessment of labor market resilience and incoming data releases rather than aggressive rate-path shifts. The August CPI print timing remains the key near-term catalyst that could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 14, 2026, 1:39 PM ET
Обсяг
$194,906Дата завершення
Aug 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 14, 2026, 1:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent US economic indicators and Federal Reserve signals have anchored trader consensus around a modest July monthly CPI increase, with the ≥0.1% outcome holding a 63% implied probability. Persistent core services and shelter components, alongside stable energy prices, have offset broader disinflation trends from earlier in 2026, limiting downside risks to the 0.0% bucket at 33%. Aggregated positioning reflects skin-in-the-game assessment of labor market resilience and incoming data releases rather than aggressive rate-path shifts. The August CPI print timing remains the key near-term catalyst that could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Обсяг
$194,906Дата завершення
Aug 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 14, 2026, 1:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent US economic indicators and Federal Reserve signals have anchored trader consensus around a modest July monthly CPI increase, with the ≥0.1% outcome holding a 63% implied probability. Persistent core services and shelter components, alongside stable energy prices, have offset broader disinflation trends from earlier in 2026, limiting downside risks to the 0.0% bucket at 33%. Aggregated positioning reflects skin-in-the-game assessment of labor market resilience and incoming data releases rather than aggressive rate-path shifts. The August CPI print timing remains the key near-term catalyst that could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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