Mexico’s annual inflation trajectory through mid-2026 has featured a pronounced disinflationary trend, with the headline CPI rate falling from 4.45% in April to 3.12% in July before edging up to 3.26% in August, below consensus. This moderation, driven by lower non-core components and softening goods prices amid weaker domestic demand, has anchored trader expectations for the full-year 2026 outcome near 4%. Banxico has held its policy rate at 6.50% since May, citing sticky services inflation and an upward bias to risks from agricultural shocks and external pressures, with private-sector forecasts clustering around 3.9–4.1% for year-end. The next monetary policy decision on September 24 could reinforce these market-implied odds if officials signal sustained caution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено4.00% to 4.49% 38%
3.00% to 3.49% 20.6%
3.50% to 3.99% 18.0%
4.50% to 4.99% 9%
$67,351 Обс.
$67,351 Обс.
Jan 7, 2027
<2.50%
7%
2.50% to 2.99%
7%
3.00% to 3.49%
21%
3.50% to 3.99%
20%
4.00% to 4.49%
38%
4.50% to 4.99%
9%
5.00% to 5.49%
5%
5.50%+
2%
4.00% to 4.49% 38%
3.00% to 3.49% 20.6%
3.50% to 3.99% 18.0%
4.50% to 4.99% 9%
$67,351 Обс.
$67,351 Обс.
Jan 7, 2027
<2.50%
$1,195 Обс.
7%
2.50% to 2.99%
$4,895 Обс.
7%
3.00% to 3.49%
$29,128 Обс.
21%
3.50% to 3.99%
$4,269 Обс.
20%
4.00% to 4.49%
$13,991 Обс.
38%
4.50% to 4.99%
$4,980 Обс.
9%
5.00% to 5.49%
$2,577 Обс.
5%
5.50%+
$6,318 Обс.
2%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendarioMexico’s annual inflation trajectory through mid-2026 has featured a pronounced disinflationary trend, with the headline CPI rate falling from 4.45% in April to 3.12% in July before edging up to 3.26% in August, below consensus. This moderation, driven by lower non-core components and softening goods prices amid weaker domestic demand, has anchored trader expectations for the full-year 2026 outcome near 4%. Banxico has held its policy rate at 6.50% since May, citing sticky services inflation and an upward bias to risks from agricultural shocks and external pressures, with private-sector forecasts clustering around 3.9–4.1% for year-end. The next monetary policy decision on September 24 could reinforce these market-implied odds if officials signal sustained caution.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
Ринок відкрито: Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ET
Обсяг
$67,351Дата завершення
Jan 8, 2027Ринок відкрито
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendarioMexico’s annual inflation trajectory through mid-2026 has featured a pronounced disinflationary trend, with the headline CPI rate falling from 4.45% in April to 3.12% in July before edging up to 3.26% in August, below consensus. This moderation, driven by lower non-core components and softening goods prices amid weaker domestic demand, has anchored trader expectations for the full-year 2026 outcome near 4%. Banxico has held its policy rate at 6.50% since May, citing sticky services inflation and an upward bias to risks from agricultural shocks and external pressures, with private-sector forecasts clustering around 3.9–4.1% for year-end. The next monetary policy decision on September 24 could reinforce these market-implied odds if officials signal sustained caution.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
Обсяг
$67,351Дата завершення
Jan 8, 2027Ринок відкрито
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Mexico’s annual inflation trajectory through mid-2026 has featured a pronounced disinflationary trend, with the headline CPI rate falling from 4.45% in April to 3.12% in July before edging up to 3.26% in August, below consensus. This moderation, driven by lower non-core components and softening goods prices amid weaker domestic demand, has anchored trader expectations for the full-year 2026 outcome near 4%. Banxico has held its policy rate at 6.50% since May, citing sticky services inflation and an upward bias to risks from agricultural shocks and external pressures, with private-sector forecasts clustering around 3.9–4.1% for year-end. The next monetary policy decision on September 24 could reinforce these market-implied odds if officials signal sustained caution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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