Recent monthly inflation prints in Argentina, including a 1.7% August reading—the lowest in 14 months—have sustained the disinflation trend under President Milei’s fiscal and monetary framework, keeping 2026 year-end CPI closely contested between the 25–29.9% and 30–34.9% brackets at market-implied odds of 44.5% and 50.2%. Analyst forecasts cluster near 29%, reflecting slower monthly gains from normalized relative prices and FX stability, yet persistent gaps between goods, services, and regulated prices plus any reacceleration in food or energy costs could push the annual rate toward the higher band. With four months remaining, upcoming INDEC releases and central bank communications on rate paths versus inflation inertia represent the key swing factors for trader positioning in these tightly matched outcomes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено30.0-34.9% 50.2%
25-29.9% 45%
35–39.9% 3.0%
<20% 1.8%
$46,330 Обс.
$46,330 Обс.
Jan 9, 2027
<20%
2%
20-24.9%
1%
25-29.9%
45%
30.0-34.9%
50%
35–39.9%
3%
40-44.9%
1%
45%+
2%
30.0-34.9% 50.2%
25-29.9% 45%
35–39.9% 3.0%
<20% 1.8%
$46,330 Обс.
$46,330 Обс.
Jan 9, 2027
<20%
$4,653 Обс.
2%
20-24.9%
$3,231 Обс.
1%
25-29.9%
$13,896 Обс.
45%
30.0-34.9%
$14,009 Обс.
50%
35–39.9%
$3,531 Обс.
3%
40-44.9%
$3,564 Обс.
1%
45%+
$3,445 Обс.
2%
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent monthly inflation prints in Argentina, including a 1.7% August reading—the lowest in 14 months—have sustained the disinflation trend under President Milei’s fiscal and monetary framework, keeping 2026 year-end CPI closely contested between the 25–29.9% and 30–34.9% brackets at market-implied odds of 44.5% and 50.2%. Analyst forecasts cluster near 29%, reflecting slower monthly gains from normalized relative prices and FX stability, yet persistent gaps between goods, services, and regulated prices plus any reacceleration in food or energy costs could push the annual rate toward the higher band. With four months remaining, upcoming INDEC releases and central bank communications on rate paths versus inflation inertia represent the key swing factors for trader positioning in these tightly matched outcomes.
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Ринок відкрито: Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ET
Обсяг
$46,330Дата завершення
Jan 10, 2027Ринок відкрито
Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent monthly inflation prints in Argentina, including a 1.7% August reading—the lowest in 14 months—have sustained the disinflation trend under President Milei’s fiscal and monetary framework, keeping 2026 year-end CPI closely contested between the 25–29.9% and 30–34.9% brackets at market-implied odds of 44.5% and 50.2%. Analyst forecasts cluster near 29%, reflecting slower monthly gains from normalized relative prices and FX stability, yet persistent gaps between goods, services, and regulated prices plus any reacceleration in food or energy costs could push the annual rate toward the higher band. With four months remaining, upcoming INDEC releases and central bank communications on rate paths versus inflation inertia represent the key swing factors for trader positioning in these tightly matched outcomes.
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Обсяг
$46,330Дата завершення
Jan 10, 2027Ринок відкрито
Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Recent monthly inflation prints in Argentina, including a 1.7% August reading—the lowest in 14 months—have sustained the disinflation trend under President Milei’s fiscal and monetary framework, keeping 2026 year-end CPI closely contested between the 25–29.9% and 30–34.9% brackets at market-implied odds of 44.5% and 50.2%. Analyst forecasts cluster near 29%, reflecting slower monthly gains from normalized relative prices and FX stability, yet persistent gaps between goods, services, and regulated prices plus any reacceleration in food or energy costs could push the annual rate toward the higher band. With four months remaining, upcoming INDEC releases and central bank communications on rate paths versus inflation inertia represent the key swing factors for trader positioning in these tightly matched outcomes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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