Argentina's July monthly inflation market reflects sustained disinflation under President Milei's fiscal austerity and tighter monetary policy, with trader-implied odds favoring the 1.8-2.3% range at over 70% combined probability. June's 1.9% print—the third consecutive slowdown—came below median economist forecasts, extending the trend from May's 2.1% and supporting the 41.5% weighting on 2.1-2.3%. Year-over-year CPI held near 33.5% amid relative price adjustments, while central bank surveys project full-year 2026 inflation near 30%. Key near-term catalysts include the August 13 INDEC release and any shifts in FX flexibility or reserve accumulation that could influence August's path.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоArgentina Monthly Inflation - July
Argentina Monthly Inflation - July
2.1-2.3% 42%
1.8-2.0% 30%
2.4-2.6% 12.3%
2.7-2.9% 4.4%
$18,371 Обс.
$18,371 Обс.
Aug 13, 2026
≤1.1%
<1%
1.2-1.4%
1%
1.5-1.7%
4%
1.8-2.0%
30%
2.1-2.3%
42%
2.4-2.6%
12%
2.7-2.9%
4%
3.0%+
<1%
2.1-2.3% 42%
1.8-2.0% 30%
2.4-2.6% 12.3%
2.7-2.9% 4.4%
$18,371 Обс.
$18,371 Обс.
Aug 13, 2026
≤1.1%
$933 Обс.
<1%
1.2-1.4%
$668 Обс.
1%
1.5-1.7%
$1,739 Обс.
4%
1.8-2.0%
$7,697 Обс.
30%
2.1-2.3%
$3,870 Обс.
42%
2.4-2.6%
$1,699 Обс.
12%
2.7-2.9%
$1,097 Обс.
4%
3.0%+
$670 Обс.
<1%
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in July 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on August 13, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Argentina's July monthly inflation market reflects sustained disinflation under President Milei's fiscal austerity and tighter monetary policy, with trader-implied odds favoring the 1.8-2.3% range at over 70% combined probability. June's 1.9% print—the third consecutive slowdown—came below median economist forecasts, extending the trend from May's 2.1% and supporting the 41.5% weighting on 2.1-2.3%. Year-over-year CPI held near 33.5% amid relative price adjustments, while central bank surveys project full-year 2026 inflation near 30%. Key near-term catalysts include the August 13 INDEC release and any shifts in FX flexibility or reserve accumulation that could influence August's path.
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in July 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on August 13, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in July 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on August 13, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 14, 2026, 8:31 PM ET
Обсяг
$18,371Дата завершення
Aug 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 14, 2026, 8:31 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in July 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on August 13, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Argentina's July monthly inflation market reflects sustained disinflation under President Milei's fiscal austerity and tighter monetary policy, with trader-implied odds favoring the 1.8-2.3% range at over 70% combined probability. June's 1.9% print—the third consecutive slowdown—came below median economist forecasts, extending the trend from May's 2.1% and supporting the 41.5% weighting on 2.1-2.3%. Year-over-year CPI held near 33.5% amid relative price adjustments, while central bank surveys project full-year 2026 inflation near 30%. Key near-term catalysts include the August 13 INDEC release and any shifts in FX flexibility or reserve accumulation that could influence August's path.
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in July 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on August 13, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in July 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on August 13, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Обсяг
$18,371Дата завершення
Aug 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 14, 2026, 8:31 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Argentina's July monthly inflation market reflects sustained disinflation under President Milei's fiscal austerity and tighter monetary policy, with trader-implied odds favoring the 1.8-2.3% range at over 70% combined probability. June's 1.9% print—the third consecutive slowdown—came below median economist forecasts, extending the trend from May's 2.1% and supporting the 41.5% weighting on 2.1-2.3%. Year-over-year CPI held near 33.5% amid relative price adjustments, while central bank surveys project full-year 2026 inflation near 30%. Key near-term catalysts include the August 13 INDEC release and any shifts in FX flexibility or reserve accumulation that could influence August's path.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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