Skip to main content

To trade in the US, go to polymarket.us

Trump won, now what?

Trump and crew

Promises & policies

What do the first few months in office look like?

icon for Trump renames AI by September 30?
Trump renames AI by September 30?
27%chance
19%
icon for Belarus
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Belarus?
0%chance
0%
icon for December 31, 2026
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?
1%chance
0.7%
icon for September 30
Trump renames New Mexico to New America by September 30, 2026?
1%chance
0.4%
icon for Margo Martin
Will Margo Martin be the next White House Press Secretary?
2%chance
0.6%
icon for December 31
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?
16%chance
4%
market icon
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
3%chance
0.3%
icon for Trump renames Lake Okeechobee to "Trump Lake" in 2026?
Trump renames Lake Okeechobee to "Trump Lake" in 2026?
5%chance
0%
icon for Will Trump rename an ocean in 2026?
Will Trump rename an ocean in 2026?
4%chance
0.3%
icon for September 30
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30?
0%chance
0%
icon for ↑ 44%
Will Trump's approval rating hit 44% in 2026?
7%chance
0.2%
icon for John Cornyn - TX-Sen
Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?
1%chance
0.1%
icon for Trump renames AI by September 30?
Trump renames AI by September 30?
27%chance
19%
icon for Belarus
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Belarus?
0%chance
0%
icon for December 31, 2026
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?
1%chance
0.7%
icon for September 30
Trump renames New Mexico to New America by September 30, 2026?
1%chance
0.4%
icon for Margo Martin
Will Margo Martin be the next White House Press Secretary?
2%chance
0.6%
icon for December 31
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?
16%chance
4%
market icon
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
3%chance
0.3%
icon for Trump renames Lake Okeechobee to "Trump Lake" in 2026?
Trump renames Lake Okeechobee to "Trump Lake" in 2026?
5%chance
0%
icon for Will Trump rename an ocean in 2026?
Will Trump rename an ocean in 2026?
4%chance
0.3%
icon for September 30
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30?
0%chance
0%
icon for ↑ 44%
Will Trump's approval rating hit 44% in 2026?
7%chance
0.2%
icon for John Cornyn - TX-Sen
Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?
1%chance
0.1%
Candidate icon

What else is in store for the Trump presidency?

See all polymarkets

polymarket.com/dashboards/trump