Trader consensus prices "Nothing" at 68% for the May geopolitics market, reflecting a continued absence of triggering events like a US-Iran permanent peace deal, Iran leadership change, WTI crude oil surpassing $150, US military action against Cuba, US alien confirmation, or Russian invasion of a NATO country through May 31. Recent April developments, including a fragile US-Iran ceasefire on April 7-8 and stalled diplomatic proposals as of April 28, have de-escalated immediate risks without yielding breakthroughs. Iran's new Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei emphasized regional control on April 30 absent further upheaval; WTI prices stabilized below $110 after early-April spikes; Pentagon Cuba contingency planning advanced mid-April but saw no execution; Russian hybrid threats persisted without invasion signals. No scheduled summits or votes loom to shift dynamics.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNothing Ever Happens: May
Nothing Ever Happens: May
Nothing
ใหม่
$10,370 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$10,370 ปริมาณ
May 31, 2026
Nothing
ใหม่
$10,370 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$10,370 ปริมาณ
May 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- US x Iran permanent peace deal
- Iran leadership change
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150
- US military action against Cuba
- US confirms that aliens exist
- Russia invades a NATO country
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_MAY.pdfTrader consensus prices "Nothing" at 68% for the May geopolitics market, reflecting a continued absence of triggering events like a US-Iran permanent peace deal, Iran leadership change, WTI crude oil surpassing $150, US military action against Cuba, US alien confirmation, or Russian invasion of a NATO country through May 31. Recent April developments, including a fragile US-Iran ceasefire on April 7-8 and stalled diplomatic proposals as of April 28, have de-escalated immediate risks without yielding breakthroughs. Iran's new Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei emphasized regional control on April 30 absent further upheaval; WTI prices stabilized below $110 after early-April spikes; Pentagon Cuba contingency planning advanced mid-April but saw no execution; Russian hybrid threats persisted without invasion signals. No scheduled summits or votes loom to shift dynamics.
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- US x Iran permanent peace deal
- Iran leadership change
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150
- US military action against Cuba
- US confirms that aliens exist
- Russia invades a NATO country
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_MAY.pdf
- US x Iran permanent peace deal
- Iran leadership change
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150
- US military action against Cuba
- US confirms that aliens exist
- Russia invades a NATO country
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_MAY.pdf
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 30, 2026, 3:14 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$10,370วันสิ้นสุด
May 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 30, 2026, 3:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- US x Iran permanent peace deal
- Iran leadership change
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150
- US military action against Cuba
- US confirms that aliens exist
- Russia invades a NATO country
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_MAY.pdfTrader consensus prices "Nothing" at 68% for the May geopolitics market, reflecting a continued absence of triggering events like a US-Iran permanent peace deal, Iran leadership change, WTI crude oil surpassing $150, US military action against Cuba, US alien confirmation, or Russian invasion of a NATO country through May 31. Recent April developments, including a fragile US-Iran ceasefire on April 7-8 and stalled diplomatic proposals as of April 28, have de-escalated immediate risks without yielding breakthroughs. Iran's new Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei emphasized regional control on April 30 absent further upheaval; WTI prices stabilized below $110 after early-April spikes; Pentagon Cuba contingency planning advanced mid-April but saw no execution; Russian hybrid threats persisted without invasion signals. No scheduled summits or votes loom to shift dynamics.
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- US x Iran permanent peace deal
- Iran leadership change
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150
- US military action against Cuba
- US confirms that aliens exist
- Russia invades a NATO country
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_MAY.pdf
- US x Iran permanent peace deal
- Iran leadership change
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150
- US military action against Cuba
- US confirms that aliens exist
- Russia invades a NATO country
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_MAY.pdf
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$10,397วันสิ้นสุด
May 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 30, 2026, 3:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "Nothing" at 68% for the May geopolitics market, reflecting a continued absence of triggering events like a US-Iran permanent peace deal, Iran leadership change, WTI crude oil surpassing $150, US military action against Cuba, US alien confirmation, or Russian invasion of a NATO country through May 31. Recent April developments, including a fragile US-Iran ceasefire on April 7-8 and stalled diplomatic proposals as of April 28, have de-escalated immediate risks without yielding breakthroughs. Iran's new Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei emphasized regional control on April 30 absent further upheaval; WTI prices stabilized below $110 after early-April spikes; Pentagon Cuba contingency planning advanced mid-April but saw no execution; Russian hybrid threats persisted without invasion signals. No scheduled summits or votes loom to shift dynamics.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย