Trader consensus on Polymarket's Services Down Parlay market implies a 96.9% probability for "No," driven by the March 31, 2026, deadline passing without all required disruptions across AWS, Discord, and Cloudflare. While Discord reported a major outage on March 9 classified as critical, AWS experienced an early-month cloud failure that fell short of the "disrupted" severity on its Health Dashboard, and Cloudflare logged only scheduled maintenance in Seoul without any resolved critical incidents. Absent synchronized severe outages—a rare tail-risk event—the market reflects strong confidence in platform reliability and robust incident management. Realistic shifts could stem from post-deadline severity reclassifications or overlooked status page revisions, though official sources show no such activity in the past 19 days.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$14,049 ปริมาณ
$14,049 ปริมาณ
Mar 31, 2026
$14,049 ปริมาณ
$14,049 ปริมาณ
Mar 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- AWS service disrupted
- Critical Discord Incident
- Critical Cloudflare incident
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Services+Down+Parlay.pdfTrader consensus on Polymarket's Services Down Parlay market implies a 96.9% probability for "No," driven by the March 31, 2026, deadline passing without all required disruptions across AWS, Discord, and Cloudflare. While Discord reported a major outage on March 9 classified as critical, AWS experienced an early-month cloud failure that fell short of the "disrupted" severity on its Health Dashboard, and Cloudflare logged only scheduled maintenance in Seoul without any resolved critical incidents. Absent synchronized severe outages—a rare tail-risk event—the market reflects strong confidence in platform reliability and robust incident management. Realistic shifts could stem from post-deadline severity reclassifications or overlooked status page revisions, though official sources show no such activity in the past 19 days.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- AWS service disrupted
- Critical Discord Incident
- Critical Cloudflare incident
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Services+Down+Parlay.pdf
- AWS service disrupted
- Critical Discord Incident
- Critical Cloudflare incident
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Services+Down+Parlay.pdf
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Feb 11, 2026, 3:09 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$14,049วันสิ้นสุด
Mar 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Feb 11, 2026, 3:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- AWS service disrupted
- Critical Discord Incident
- Critical Cloudflare incident
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Services+Down+Parlay.pdfTrader consensus on Polymarket's Services Down Parlay market implies a 96.9% probability for "No," driven by the March 31, 2026, deadline passing without all required disruptions across AWS, Discord, and Cloudflare. While Discord reported a major outage on March 9 classified as critical, AWS experienced an early-month cloud failure that fell short of the "disrupted" severity on its Health Dashboard, and Cloudflare logged only scheduled maintenance in Seoul without any resolved critical incidents. Absent synchronized severe outages—a rare tail-risk event—the market reflects strong confidence in platform reliability and robust incident management. Realistic shifts could stem from post-deadline severity reclassifications or overlooked status page revisions, though official sources show no such activity in the past 19 days.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- AWS service disrupted
- Critical Discord Incident
- Critical Cloudflare incident
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Services+Down+Parlay.pdf
- AWS service disrupted
- Critical Discord Incident
- Critical Cloudflare incident
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Services+Down+Parlay.pdf
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$14,049วันสิ้นสุด
Mar 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Feb 11, 2026, 3:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket's Services Down Parlay market implies a 96.9% probability for "No," driven by the March 31, 2026, deadline passing without all required disruptions across AWS, Discord, and Cloudflare. While Discord reported a major outage on March 9 classified as critical, AWS experienced an early-month cloud failure that fell short of the "disrupted" severity on its Health Dashboard, and Cloudflare logged only scheduled maintenance in Seoul without any resolved critical incidents. Absent synchronized severe outages—a rare tail-risk event—the market reflects strong confidence in platform reliability and robust incident management. Realistic shifts could stem from post-deadline severity reclassifications or overlooked status page revisions, though official sources show no such activity in the past 19 days.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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