Recent April CPI data, showing a 0.6% month-over-month increase amid elevated energy costs from geopolitical pressures and persistent shelter gains, anchors trader positioning for the May monthly reading. Cleveland Fed nowcasts place the May month-over-month figure near 0.46%, aligning with the 50.5% implied probability on 0.5% and supporting the combined 71% odds on the 0.4–0.6% cluster. Core measures rose 0.4% last month, with year-over-year inflation at 3.8%, while labor-market tightness and tariff effects continue to influence expectations ahead of the June 10 release. Market-implied odds reflect this data trajectory and limited near-term catalysts for sharper deceleration or acceleration.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMay Inflation US - Monthly
0.5% 51%
0.4% 20.6%
0.6% 21%
0.3% 3.9%
$49,973 ปริมาณ
$49,973 ปริมาณ
≤0.1%
1%
0.2%
<1%
0.3%
4%
0.4%
21%
0.5%
51%
0.6%
21%
0.7%
2%
0.8%
3%
≥0.9%
1%
0.5% 51%
0.4% 20.6%
0.6% 21%
0.3% 3.9%
$49,973 ปริมาณ
$49,973 ปริมาณ
≤0.1%
1%
0.2%
<1%
0.3%
4%
0.4%
21%
0.5%
51%
0.6%
21%
0.7%
2%
0.8%
3%
≥0.9%
1%
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 12, 2026, 3:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent April CPI data, showing a 0.6% month-over-month increase amid elevated energy costs from geopolitical pressures and persistent shelter gains, anchors trader positioning for the May monthly reading. Cleveland Fed nowcasts place the May month-over-month figure near 0.46%, aligning with the 50.5% implied probability on 0.5% and supporting the combined 71% odds on the 0.4–0.6% cluster. Core measures rose 0.4% last month, with year-over-year inflation at 3.8%, while labor-market tightness and tariff effects continue to influence expectations ahead of the June 10 release. Market-implied odds reflect this data trajectory and limited near-term catalysts for sharper deceleration or acceleration.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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