The Bank of Canada’s September 2 decision to hold the overnight rate steady at 2.25% for a seventh consecutive meeting, citing data evolving in line with its July forecast, has anchored trader consensus around an 86% implied probability of no change at the October 28 announcement. Headline CPI remains near 3% from elevated energy prices tied to Middle East tensions, yet core measures stay close to the 2% target with little evidence of broader pass-through, while Q2 GDP growth rebounded to 3.3% annualized amid a broadening recovery. Heightened uncertainty from U.S. tariffs and retaliatory measures pulls growth risks in the opposite direction, leading the Governing Council to emphasize readiness to adjust policy as needed without signaling near-term tightening. The upcoming Monetary Policy Report will supply fresh projections that could refine the market-implied path, currently pricing only modest odds of a 25-basis-point move.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วBank of Canada Decision in October?
Bank of Canada Decision in October?
No Change 86.1%
25 bps increase 14.2%
25 bps decrease <1%
50+ bps increase <1%
$61,849 ปริมาณ
$61,849 ปริมาณ
Oct 27, 2026
50+ bps increase
<1%
25 bps increase
14%
No Change
86%
25 bps decrease
1%
50+ bps decrease
<1%
No Change 86.1%
25 bps increase 14.2%
25 bps decrease <1%
50+ bps increase <1%
$61,849 ปริมาณ
$61,849 ปริมาณ
Oct 27, 2026
50+ bps increase
$4,937 ปริมาณ
<1%
25 bps increase
$14,150 ปริมาณ
14%
No Change
$27,987 ปริมาณ
86%
25 bps decrease
$10,710 ปริมาณ
1%
50+ bps decrease
$4,064 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the target for the overnight rate resulting from the October 2026 interest rate announcement of the Bank of Canada, relative to the level it was prior to this announcement.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Canada, including the statement or release from its October 2026 interest rate announcement, scheduled for October 28, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar (https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Canada resulting from its October 2026 interest rate decision with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified announcement is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled announcement, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed announcement. If the specified announcement is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled announcement, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified announcement will not be considered.The Bank of Canada’s September 2 decision to hold the overnight rate steady at 2.25% for a seventh consecutive meeting, citing data evolving in line with its July forecast, has anchored trader consensus around an 86% implied probability of no change at the October 28 announcement. Headline CPI remains near 3% from elevated energy prices tied to Middle East tensions, yet core measures stay close to the 2% target with little evidence of broader pass-through, while Q2 GDP growth rebounded to 3.3% annualized amid a broadening recovery. Heightened uncertainty from U.S. tariffs and retaliatory measures pulls growth risks in the opposite direction, leading the Governing Council to emphasize readiness to adjust policy as needed without signaling near-term tightening. The upcoming Monetary Policy Report will supply fresh projections that could refine the market-implied path, currently pricing only modest odds of a 25-basis-point move.
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the target for the overnight rate resulting from the October 2026 interest rate announcement of the Bank of Canada, relative to the level it was prior to this announcement.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Canada, including the statement or release from its October 2026 interest rate announcement, scheduled for October 28, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar (https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Canada resulting from its October 2026 interest rate decision with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified announcement is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled announcement, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed announcement. If the specified announcement is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled announcement, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified announcement will not be considered.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Canada, including the statement or release from its October 2026 interest rate announcement, scheduled for October 28, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar (https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Canada resulting from its October 2026 interest rate decision with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified announcement is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled announcement, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed announcement. If the specified announcement is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled announcement, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified announcement will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 15, 2026, 9:50 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$61,849วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 28, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 15, 2026, 9:50 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the target for the overnight rate resulting from the October 2026 interest rate announcement of the Bank of Canada, relative to the level it was prior to this announcement.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Canada, including the statement or release from its October 2026 interest rate announcement, scheduled for October 28, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar (https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Canada resulting from its October 2026 interest rate decision with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified announcement is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled announcement, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed announcement. If the specified announcement is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled announcement, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified announcement will not be considered.The Bank of Canada’s September 2 decision to hold the overnight rate steady at 2.25% for a seventh consecutive meeting, citing data evolving in line with its July forecast, has anchored trader consensus around an 86% implied probability of no change at the October 28 announcement. Headline CPI remains near 3% from elevated energy prices tied to Middle East tensions, yet core measures stay close to the 2% target with little evidence of broader pass-through, while Q2 GDP growth rebounded to 3.3% annualized amid a broadening recovery. Heightened uncertainty from U.S. tariffs and retaliatory measures pulls growth risks in the opposite direction, leading the Governing Council to emphasize readiness to adjust policy as needed without signaling near-term tightening. The upcoming Monetary Policy Report will supply fresh projections that could refine the market-implied path, currently pricing only modest odds of a 25-basis-point move.
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the target for the overnight rate resulting from the October 2026 interest rate announcement of the Bank of Canada, relative to the level it was prior to this announcement.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Canada, including the statement or release from its October 2026 interest rate announcement, scheduled for October 28, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar (https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Canada resulting from its October 2026 interest rate decision with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified announcement is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled announcement, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed announcement. If the specified announcement is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled announcement, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified announcement will not be considered.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Canada, including the statement or release from its October 2026 interest rate announcement, scheduled for October 28, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar (https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Canada resulting from its October 2026 interest rate decision with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified announcement is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled announcement, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed announcement. If the specified announcement is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled announcement, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified announcement will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$61,849วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 28, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 15, 2026, 9:50 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The Bank of Canada’s September 2 decision to hold the overnight rate steady at 2.25% for a seventh consecutive meeting, citing data evolving in line with its July forecast, has anchored trader consensus around an 86% implied probability of no change at the October 28 announcement. Headline CPI remains near 3% from elevated energy prices tied to Middle East tensions, yet core measures stay close to the 2% target with little evidence of broader pass-through, while Q2 GDP growth rebounded to 3.3% annualized amid a broadening recovery. Heightened uncertainty from U.S. tariffs and retaliatory measures pulls growth risks in the opposite direction, leading the Governing Council to emphasize readiness to adjust policy as needed without signaling near-term tightening. The upcoming Monetary Policy Report will supply fresh projections that could refine the market-implied path, currently pricing only modest odds of a 25-basis-point move.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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