The official Bureau of Labor Statistics release on August 12, 2026, confirmed the July 2026 annual CPI inflation rate at exactly 3.4 percent year over year, aligning with consensus forecasts and driving the market-implied probability to 100 percent. This outcome reflects continued moderation in energy prices amid easing effects from prior geopolitical shocks, alongside modest deceleration in shelter costs to 3.2 percent and stable food inflation at 3 percent, with the monthly CPI rising just 0.1 percent. Core inflation also matched expectations at 2.5 percent annually. While the data release eliminates near-term uncertainty, potential revisions in subsequent BLS updates or unexpected shifts in upcoming monthly components could still influence related rate expectations and Treasury yields.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วJuly Inflation US - Annual
July Inflation US - Annual
3.4% 100.0%
≤3.1% <1%
3.2% <1%
3.3% <1%
$649,479 ปริมาณ
$649,479 ปริมาณ
Aug 11, 2026
≤3.1%
No
3.2%
No
3.3%
No
3.4%
Yes
3.5%
No
3.6%
No
3.7%
No
3.8%
No
3.9%
No
4.0%
No
4.1%
No
≥4.2%
No
3.4% 100.0%
≤3.1% <1%
3.2% <1%
3.3% <1%
$649,479 ปริมาณ
$649,479 ปริมาณ
Aug 11, 2026
≤3.1%
$59,103 ปริมาณ
No
3.2%
$50,191 ปริมาณ
No
3.3%
$112,144 ปริมาณ
No
3.4%
$108,549 ปริมาณ
Yes
3.5%
$81,345 ปริมาณ
No
3.6%
$50,503 ปริมาณ
No
3.7%
$42,968 ปริมาณ
No
3.8%
$35,572 ปริมาณ
No
3.9%
$32,770 ปริมาณ
No
4.0%
$26,540 ปริมาณ
No
4.1%
$25,137 ปริมาณ
No
≥4.2%
$24,657 ปริมาณ
No
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending July 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.The official Bureau of Labor Statistics release on August 12, 2026, confirmed the July 2026 annual CPI inflation rate at exactly 3.4 percent year over year, aligning with consensus forecasts and driving the market-implied probability to 100 percent. This outcome reflects continued moderation in energy prices amid easing effects from prior geopolitical shocks, alongside modest deceleration in shelter costs to 3.2 percent and stable food inflation at 3 percent, with the monthly CPI rising just 0.1 percent. Core inflation also matched expectations at 2.5 percent annually. While the data release eliminates near-term uncertainty, potential revisions in subsequent BLS updates or unexpected shifts in upcoming monthly components could still influence related rate expectations and Treasury yields.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending July 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 14, 2026, 1:35 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$649,479วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 12, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 14, 2026, 1:35 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending July 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.The official Bureau of Labor Statistics release on August 12, 2026, confirmed the July 2026 annual CPI inflation rate at exactly 3.4 percent year over year, aligning with consensus forecasts and driving the market-implied probability to 100 percent. This outcome reflects continued moderation in energy prices amid easing effects from prior geopolitical shocks, alongside modest deceleration in shelter costs to 3.2 percent and stable food inflation at 3 percent, with the monthly CPI rising just 0.1 percent. Core inflation also matched expectations at 2.5 percent annually. While the data release eliminates near-term uncertainty, potential revisions in subsequent BLS updates or unexpected shifts in upcoming monthly components could still influence related rate expectations and Treasury yields.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending July 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$649,479วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 12, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 14, 2026, 1:35 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
The official Bureau of Labor Statistics release on August 12, 2026, confirmed the July 2026 annual CPI inflation rate at exactly 3.4 percent year over year, aligning with consensus forecasts and driving the market-implied probability to 100 percent. This outcome reflects continued moderation in energy prices amid easing effects from prior geopolitical shocks, alongside modest deceleration in shelter costs to 3.2 percent and stable food inflation at 3 percent, with the monthly CPI rising just 0.1 percent. Core inflation also matched expectations at 2.5 percent annually. While the data release eliminates near-term uncertainty, potential revisions in subsequent BLS updates or unexpected shifts in upcoming monthly components could still influence related rate expectations and Treasury yields.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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