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This market will resolve to "Gaethje" if Justin Gaethje is officially declared the winner of the fight against Paddy Pimblett at UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett, scheduled for January 24, 2026.

It will resolve to "Pimblett" if Paddy Pimblett is officially declared the winner.

If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond February 7, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Paddy Pimblett defeats Justin Gaethje at UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett, scheduled for January 24, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."

If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No."

If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond February 7, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Pimblett win by KO/TKO?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Justin Gaethje and Paddy Pimblett at UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett, scheduled for January 24, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."

If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No."

If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond February 7, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Fight won by submission?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Justin Gaethje and Paddy Pimblett at UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett, scheduled for January 24, 2026, ends by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."

If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No."

If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond February 7, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Fight won by KO/TKO?

Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Justin Gaethje and Paddy Pimblett at UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett, scheduled for January 24, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.

Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Justin Gaethje and Paddy Pimblett at UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett, scheduled for January 24, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold.

For example:

“Over 2.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 3.

“Under 2.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 3.

If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 3 for a 2.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.”

If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond February 7, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.”

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

O/U 2.5 Rounds

Gaethje vs. Pimblett

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Justin Gaethje and Paddy Pimblett at UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett, scheduled for January 24, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." 

Draws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve "Yes." Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve "No."

If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond February 7, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Fight to Go the Distance?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Justin Gaethje defeats Paddy Pimblett at UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett, scheduled for January 24, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."

If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No."

If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond February 7, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Gaethje win by KO/TKO?

Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Justin Gaethje and Paddy Pimblett at UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett, scheduled for January 24, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.

Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Justin Gaethje and Paddy Pimblett at UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett, scheduled for January 24, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold.

For example:

“Over 4.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 5.

“Under 4.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 5.

If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 5 for a 4.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.”

If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond February 7, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.”

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

O/U 4.5 Rounds

Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Justin Gaethje and Paddy Pimblett at UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett, scheduled for January 24, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.

Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Justin Gaethje and Paddy Pimblett at UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett, scheduled for January 24, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold.

For example:

“Over 0.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 1.

“Under 0.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 1.

If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 1 for a 0.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.”

If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond February 7, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.”

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

O/U 0.5 Rounds

Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Justin Gaethje and Paddy Pimblett at UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett, scheduled for January 24, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.

Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Justin Gaethje and Paddy Pimblett at UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett, scheduled for January 24, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold.

For example:

“Over 1.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 2.

“Under 1.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 2.

If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 2 for a 1.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.”

If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond February 7, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.”

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

O/U 1.5 Rounds

Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Justin Gaethje and Paddy Pimblett at UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett, scheduled for January 24, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.

Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Justin Gaethje and Paddy Pimblett at UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett, scheduled for January 24, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold.

For example:

“Over 3.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 4.

“Under 3.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 4.

If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 4 for a 3.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.”

If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond February 7, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.”

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Moneyline
$25.7k Vol.

Totals
$2 Vol.

Go the Distance?
$80 Vol.

Pimblett win by KO/TKO?
$59 Vol.

Fight won by submission?
$145 Vol.

Fight won by KO/TKO?
$105 Vol.

Gaethje win by KO/TKO?
$17 Vol.

UFC

Paddy Pimblett vs. Justin Gaethje Odds & Predictions (Jan. 24, 2026) | Polymarket

Moneyline$25.7k Vol.jus333¢pad68¢

Totals$2 Vol.O2.567¢U2.560¢0.51.52.53.54.5chevron left

Go the Distance?$80 Vol.Yes27¢No79¢

Pimblett win by KO/TKO?$59 Vol.Yes24¢No90¢

Fight won by submission?$145 Vol.Yes45¢No77¢

Fight won by KO/TKO?$105 Vol.Yes50¢No78¢

Gaethje win by KO/TKO?$17 Vol.Yes32¢No88¢

UFC