Trader consensus slightly favors Japan at 42.5% implied probability for this World Cup 2026 warm-up friendly at Hampden Park, reflecting their superior FIFA ranking (19th vs. Scotland's 38th), status as first qualifiers, and strong recent form with seven wins in recent internationals. Scotland's 29.5% trails amid home advantage and an eight-win surge in their last 12 matches, bolstered by returns from injury for Billy Gilmour and Nathan Patterson, though Steve Clarke's eyebrow-raising selections prioritize long-term absentees over some domestic stars. A 27.5% draw price underscores low-scoring head-to-head history, exacerbated by Japan's mounting injury crisis—Takehiro Tomiyasu withdrawn, Ryunosuke Sato missing training—tightening the competitive matchup ahead of kickoff.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

If Scotland wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Mar 1, 2026, 9:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.fifa.comResolver
0x69c47De9D...

If Scotland wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Mar 1, 2026, 9:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.fifa.comResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus slightly favors Japan at 42.5% implied probability for this World Cup 2026 warm-up friendly at Hampden Park, reflecting their superior FIFA ranking (19th vs. Scotland's 38th), status as first qualifiers, and strong recent form with seven wins in recent internationals. Scotland's 29.5% trails amid home advantage and an eight-win surge in their last 12 matches, bolstered by returns from injury for Billy Gilmour and Nathan Patterson, though Steve Clarke's eyebrow-raising selections prioritize long-term absentees over some domestic stars. A 27.5% draw price underscores low-scoring head-to-head history, exacerbated by Japan's mounting injury crisis—Takehiro Tomiyasu withdrawn, Ryunosuke Sato missing training—tightening the competitive matchup ahead of kickoff.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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